Match Info

FA Trophy - 1/32-finals

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	Hemel Hempstead Town		Horsham

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.2	2.45
	2.63	3.3	2.67
	2.55	3.34	2.65	Watch
	2.5	3	2.6
	2.56	3.14	2.49
	2.4	3.25	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.38)	3.21 ↓ (3.23)	2.58 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hemel Hempstead Town
35.9%

Draw
28.6%

Horsham
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

27.9%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

30.4%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hemel Hempstead Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hemel Hempstead Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (-4%)

Hemel Hempstead Town - Horsham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
81', 0 - 1, Elliott J. ⚽,
84', 0 - 2, Meekums R. ⚽,

Preview

Hemel Hempstead has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Horsham is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hemel Hempstead may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hemel Hempstead won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Including home match between the teams, Hemel Hempstead won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Hemel Hempstead Town - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 37.86%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Horsham - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.26%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
06.12.25	Salisbury - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:0 ✺
02.12.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Hornchurch	0:4 ✺
29.11.25	Tonbridge Angels - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:3 ✺
25.11.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Chelmsford City	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Horsham	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWWT
- Horsham FC
English National League South
06.12.25	Chippenham Town - Horsham	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Horsham - Weston-super-Mare	1:1 ✺
25.11.25	Ebbsfleet United - Horsham	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Horsham	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Horsham - Farnham Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
22.11.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Horsham	1:1

Upcoming Matches