Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 5

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade Jos Becker (Hostert)


	Hostert		Differdange 03

	1	X	2
	5.50	4.33	1.43
	6.1	4.4	1.37
	6.57	4.89	1.39
	5.99	4.47	1.44	Watch
	6.5	4.8	1.37
	7.19	4.62	1.4
	6	4.4	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.26 ↑ (5.75)	4.56 ↑ (4.25)	1.4 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hostert
14.6%

Draw
20%

Differdange 03
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.7%

21.3%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2%

20.6%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hostert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Differdange 03 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hostert than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Differdange 03 than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Hostert - Differdange 03 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Jean C. ⚽, Franzoni G. (A),
45+1', 0 - 2, Bruninho ⚽, Rauch L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hostert won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Hostert may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Hostert has had a series of away games.

In this match, Differdange 03 is the clear favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Hostert won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:40. (average 1.2:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Hostert won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 1.1:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Differdange	8	7	0	1	19:5	14	21
9	Hostert	8	3	2	3	14:11	3	11

Last Results with these Odds

Differdange 03 - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 62.95%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Hostert
Luxembourg National Division
16.08.26	Hostert - Etzella Ettelbruck	5:1 ✺
02.08.26	Résidence Walferdange - Hostert	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	F91 Dudelange - Hostert	5:1 ✺
15.07.26	Luxembourg City - Hostert	0:4 ✺
11.07.26	Atert Bissen - Hostert	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLWL
- Differdange 03
Luxembourg National Division
15.08.26	Wiltz 71 - Differdange 03	1:2 ✺
02.08.26	Mondorf-les-Bains - Differdange 03	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.07.26	Ilves - Differdange 03	3:1 ✺
08.07.26	Differdange 03 - Ilves	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.07.26	Differdange 03 - F91 Dudelange	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
08.03.26	Differdange 03 - Hostert	3:2
14.09.25	Hostert - Differdange 03	0:1
27.04.25	Differdange 03 - Hostert	4:0
03.11.24	Hostert - Differdange 03	1:3
14.05.23	Differdange 03 - Hostert	1:0
10.12.22	Hostert - Differdange 03	0:5
16.04.22	Hostert - Differdange 03	0:0

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