Match Info

CROATIA: PRVA NL - ROUND 29

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday


	Jarun Zagreb		Hrvatski Dragovoljac

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.25	3.5
	1.88	3.3	3.5
	1.84	3.52	3.97
	1.82	3.65	3.8
	1.9	3.3	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.8)	3.4 ↑ (3.3)	3.66 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jarun Zagreb
48.6%

Draw
26.7%

Hrvatski Dragovoljac
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

27.3%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

21.5%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jarun Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Hrvatski Dragovoljac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jarun Zagreb than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jarun Zagreb that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hrvatski Dragovoljac than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Jarun Zagreb - Hrvatski Dragovoljac Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches Jarun is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hrvatski Dragovoljac has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Jarun could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Jarun will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Jarun won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Jarun won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jarun Zagreb
Croatian Prva NL
29.04.23	Bijelo Brdo - Jarun Zagreb	1:2 ✺
24.04.23	Jarun Zagreb - Kustošija	2:1 ✺
16.04.23	Croatia Zmijavci - Jarun Zagreb	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	Orijent - Jarun Zagreb	4:0 ✺
03.04.23	Jarun Zagreb - Rudeš	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLLL
- NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Croatian Prva NL
28.04.23	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Rudeš	2:2 ✺
22.04.23	Vukovar 91 - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	3:1 ✺
15.04.23	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Cibalia	0:2 ✺
08.04.23	Solin - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	3:0 ✺
31.03.23	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Dubrava	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
19.03.23	Jarun Zagreb - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1:5
Club Friendly
14.01.23	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Jarun Zagreb	Canceled
Croatian Prva NL
21.10.22	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Jarun Zagreb	0:0

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