Match Info

Date: 16 April 2022, Saturday


	Huércal-Overa		Ciudad de Murcia

	1	X	2
	6.4	3.9	1.4
	6.24	3.94	1.43
	5.15	3.26	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.93 ↑ (2.91)	3.7 ↑ (2.81)	1.51 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huércal-Overa
15.3%

Draw
24.5%

Ciudad de Murcia
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

30.9%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

29.2%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huércal-Overa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Huércal-Overa's form might have worsened.

Ciudad de Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ciudad de Murcia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huércal-Overa than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Huércal-Overa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Murcia than the current prediction. (-23%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ciudad de Murcia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Huércal-Overa has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ciudad de Murcia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ciudad de Murcia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Huércal-Overa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Huércal-Overa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Huércal-Overa CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
09.04.22	Yeclano Deportivo - Huércal-Overa	3:0 ✺
03.04.22	Huércal-Overa - Bullense	0:1 ✺
27.03.22	Cartagena B - Huércal-Overa	5:0 ✺
20.03.22	Huércal-Overa - La Unión	0:1 ✺
13.03.22	Lorca Deportiva - Huércal-Overa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CAP Ciudad de Murcia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
10.04.22	Ciudad de Murcia - UCAM Murcia B	1:1 ✺
03.04.22	Caravaca - Ciudad de Murcia	1:0 ✺
27.03.22	Ciudad de Murcia - Mazarrón	0:1 ✺
20.03.22	Bala Azul - Ciudad de Murcia	0:0 ✺
13.03.22	Los Garres - Ciudad de Murcia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
03.12.21	Ciudad de Murcia - Huércal-Overa	3:0
13.10.19	Ciudad de Murcia - Huércal-Overa	0:0
04.01.19	Huércal-Overa - Ciudad de Murcia	4:0

Huércal-Overa - Ciudad de Murcia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide