Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 26

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Caravaca		Ciudad de Murcia

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.1	4.2
	1.8	3.1	4.5
	1.76	3.12	4.48
	1.77	3.12	4.48
	1.81	3.13	4.48
	1.8	3.1	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.76)	3.11 (3.11)	4.44 ↓ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caravaca
50.6%

Draw
29%

Ciudad de Murcia
20.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.1%

28.9%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

27.8%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caravaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Ciudad de Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caravaca than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Murcia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Goudani A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 13).

Caravaca is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ciudad de Murcia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Caravaca have a series of home games.

In this match Caravaca is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Caravaca to win the game is with odds 1.76.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Caravaca won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Caravaca won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Caravaca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
17.03.24	Unión Molinense - Caravaca	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Caravaca - Real Murcia B	2:2 ✺
03.03.24	Caravaca - Lorca Deportiva	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	Caravaca - UCAM Murcia B	2:1 ✺
18.02.24	Caravaca - Algar	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TTWWW
- CAP Ciudad de Murcia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
17.03.24	Ciudad de Murcia - Lorca Deportiva	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	UCAM Murcia B - Ciudad de Murcia	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Ciudad de Murcia - Algar	1:2 ✺
25.02.24	Plus Ultra - Ciudad de Murcia	2:1 ✺
18.02.24	Ciudad de Murcia - Bullense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
05.11.23	Ciudad de Murcia - Caravaca	1:1
08.01.23	Caravaca - Ciudad de Murcia	0:0
11.09.22	Ciudad de Murcia - Caravaca	0:1
03.04.22	Caravaca - Ciudad de Murcia	1:0
21.11.21	Ciudad de Murcia - Caravaca	1:3

Caravaca - Ciudad de Murcia

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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