Match Info

Date: 13 March 2022, Sunday


	Lorca Deportiva		Huércal-Overa

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	4
	1.63	3.5	4.3
	1.66	3.57	4.33
	1.67	3.3	5.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.49)	3.44 ↓ (3.67)	4.48 ↓ (5.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorca Deportiva
53.8%

Draw
26.1%

Huércal-Overa
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

24.1%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

19.7%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorca Deportiva's form might have worsened.

Huércal-Overa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (+18.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorca Deportiva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huércal-Overa than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Huércal-Overa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Lorca Deportiva is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lorca Deportiva won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Lorca Deportiva won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
06.03.22	UCAM Murcia B - Lorca Deportiva	1:0 ✺
27.02.22	Lorca Deportiva - Caravaca	2:4 ✺
19.02.22	Lorca Deportiva - Mazarrón	0:0 ✺
13.02.22	Lorca Deportiva - Bala Azul	1:0 ✺
06.02.22	Ciudad de Murcia - Lorca Deportiva	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTWL
- Huércal-Overa CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
06.03.22	Huércal-Overa - Racing Murcia	0:0 ✺
27.02.22	Real Murcia B - Huércal-Overa	1:0 ✺
20.02.22	Huércal-Overa - Cartagena FC	0:0 ✺
13.02.22	Minera - Huércal-Overa	2:1 ✺
05.02.22	Huércal-Overa - El Palmar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
31.10.21	Huércal-Overa - Lorca Deportiva	0:2
15.12.19	Lorca Deportiva - Huércal-Overa	4:1
30.09.18	Huércal-Overa - Lorca Deportiva	2:1

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