Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Relegation Group - Round 25

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Xinhua Road Sports Center (Wuhan)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports


	Hubei Istar		Guangxi Lanhang

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.43	3.8	6.5
				Watch
	1.45	3.97	6.31
	1.46	4.05	6.47	Watch
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.43	3.98	6.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (2.33)	3.88 ↑ (3.12)	6.31 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hubei Istar
62.2%

Draw
23.4%

Guangxi Lanhang
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

28.7%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

28.5%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubei Istar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hubei Istar's performance.

Guangxi Lanhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guangxi Lanhang might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubei Istar than the current prediction. (-23.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hubei Istar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Lanhang than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangxi Lanhang could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hubei Istar - Guangxi Lanhang Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Wang Xinghao (G) 46. Yang B. 56. Liu Xin 41. Yu Jingcheng 70. Wei Suowei 63. Zhang J. 55. Xia Z. 49. Wang D. 65. Wulan M. 53. Sun W. 52. Huang W.	1. Wang Xibo (G) 20. Jiang Z. 48. Wei Minghe 3. Xie Shixian 5. Chen S. 30. Yu Xueyi 8. Zheng Y. 10. Memet-Ali M. 16. Cheng H. 11. An Yongjian 22. Liao J.
Substitutes
66. Cui Shengcheng 72. Fan X. 51. Gao S. 60. Hu Guiying (G) 69. Lin Shangyuan 67. Min Xiankun 76. Shan S. 58. Wang Z. 64. Wei Z. 42. Xia Jiayi 50. Yang Boyue 61. Zhong Minghzi	23. Chi Dian 6. Guo Y. 42. Huang Xuanzhong (G) 46. Li-Jing Chengyu 9. Wang S. 44. Xia Zhengrong 7. Xi Zhenyun 43. Zheng Y. 18. Zou Q.
Coaches
Gao Feng	Gong Lei

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Yang B. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Chen S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 1 - 2, An Yongjian ⚽,
57', Xie Shixian ↓, Guo Y. ↑,
57', Wang D. ↓, Lin Shangyuan ↑,
57', Zhang J. ↓, Zhong Minghzi ↑,
60', Wulan M. ↓, Gao S. ↑,
63', Sun W. ↓, Min Xiankun ↑,
67', Zheng Y. ↓, Wang S. ↑,
72', Yang B. ↓, Cui Shengcheng ↑,
74', Liao J. 🟨,
78', Jiang Z. ↓, Zou Q. ↑,
78', An Yongjian ↓, Xia Zhengrong ↑,
86', Memet-Ali M. ↓, Xi Zhenyun ↑,
88', Liu Xin ↓, Fan X. ↑,
90+2', Wei Suowei 🟨,
90+4', Yu Xueyi 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 2, Zou Q. (Own goal),

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubei Istar
Chinese Yi League
21.09.24	Ganzhou Ruishi - Hubei Istar	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Wenzhou Professional - Hubei Istar	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Hubei Istar - Quanzhou Yassin	4:1 ✺
01.09.24	Hubei Istar - Kunming City	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Guangxi Lanhang - Hubei Istar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLWTW
- Guangxi Lanhang
Chinese Yi League
22.09.24	Guangxi Lanhang - Lanzhou Longyuan	2:2 ✺
16.09.24	Guangxi Lanhang - Taian Tiankuang	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Guangxi Lanhang	2:3 ✺
01.09.24	Beijing Institute of Technology - Guangxi Lanhang	0:2 ✺
25.08.24	Guangxi Lanhang - Hubei Istar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
25.08.24	Guangxi Lanhang - Hubei Istar	1:2
10.10.23	Hubei Istar - Guangxi Lanhang	0:1
26.08.23	Guangxi Lanhang - Hubei Istar	1:0

Hubei Istar - Guangxi Lanhang: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide