Match Info

League Two - Round 17

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Wenzhou Sports Centre (Wenzhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Wenzhou Professional		Hubei Istar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	2.95	2.95
	2.25	2.88	3.05	Watch
	2.36	3.01	2.98
	2.36	3.01	3.03	Watch
	2.30	2.95	2.95
	2.34	2.90	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.52)	2.95 ↓ (3)	3 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wenzhou Professional
39.2%

Draw
30.7%

Hubei Istar
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

31.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

31.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wenzhou Professional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Hubei Istar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wenzhou Professional than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubei Istar than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Wenzhou Professional - Hubei Istar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Chen Zhao (G) 28. Zhu Chunyou 19. Yao Xilong 55. Gao Le 18. Lu Jiabin 11. Lu Shihao 8. Han Tianlin 10. Ruan Sai (C) 7. Lu Y. 9. Li Jiaheng 22. Abdugheni I.	1. Meng Derui (G) 13. Pan Jinglue 27. Zhang Yixuan 4. Sun Tianyu 3. Tang Xin 7. Guo Yi 20. Nie Aoshuang (C) 30. Li Yubing 10. Wen Jialong 21. Li B. 14. Zhang Chengji
Substitutes
14. Fu Hao 57. He J. 52. He Xiang (G) 36. Hua Mingcan 58. Liu Y. 27. Ou Xueqian 53. Sun Weikai 25. Wang X. 16. Wu Yuchen 20. Zhang F. 13. Zhang H. (G) 50. Zhuang Q.	36. Bian Weihao 6. Du Xiaoyu 33. Hongxiang S. 59. Huang Bo 12. Lin F. 55. Liu Mingyu 15. Nur Sherzat 16. Wei Deliang (G) 41. Yu Jingcheng
Coaches
Zhao Peng	Wan Houliang

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', Sun Tianyu 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Wen Jialong ⚽,
25', Han Tianlin 🟨,
36', 0 - 2, Li B. ⚽, Wen Jialong (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Abdugheni I. ↓, Sun Weikai ↑,
64', Lu Shihao ↓, Wu Yuchen ↑,
64', Zhang Chengji ↓, Nur Sherzat ↑,
64', Guo Yi ↓, Liu Mingyu ↑,
74', Zhu Chunyou ↓, He J. ↑,
75', Lu Y. ↓, Zhuang Q. ↑,
78', Wen Jialong ↓, Yu Jingcheng ↑,
83', Han Tianlin ↓, Hua Mingcan ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Li Jiaheng (Penalty Awarded),
90+4', Liu Mingyu ↓, Hongxiang S. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wenzhou won 4.

Wenzhou is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hubei Istar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Wenzhou could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Wenzhou won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Wenzhou won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wenzhou Professional
Chinese Yi League
05.07.26	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Wenzhou Professional	0:0 ✺
28.06.26	Wenzhou Professional - Ganzhou Ruishi	0:1 ✺
24.06.26	Wenzhou Professional - Wuhan Three Towns B	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Chengdu Rongcheng B - Wenzhou Professional	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	Wenzhou Professional - Xiamen Feilu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 TLWWW
- Hubei Istar
Chinese Yi League
04.07.26	Ganzhou Ruishi - Hubei Istar	4:4 ✺
27.06.26	Hubei Istar - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	2:0 ✺
23.06.26	Xiamen Feilu - Hubei Istar	0:0 ✺
19.06.26	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Hubei Istar	2:3 ✺
14.06.26	Hubei Istar - Shenzhen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
29.04.26	Hubei Istar - Wenzhou Professional	1:1
18.10.25	Wenzhou Professional - Hubei Istar	3:1
13.09.25	Hubei Istar - Wenzhou Professional	0:1
19.10.24	Hubei Istar - Wenzhou Professional	0:3
15.09.24	Wenzhou Professional - Hubei Istar	2:1
22.10.23	Wenzhou Professional - Hubei Istar	1:0
09.09.23	Hubei Istar - Wenzhou Professional	2:0

Wenzhou Professional - Hubei Istar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide