Match Info

League Two - Round 11

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Xinhua Road Sports Center (Wuhan)


	Hubei Istar		Shenzhen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.60	2.90	2.55
	2.60	2.85	2.65	Watch
	2.78	3.05	2.63
	2.77	2.84	2.67
	2.70	2.70	2.50
	2.81	2.61	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.26)	2.83 ↓ (2.97)	2.61 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hubei Istar
33.4%

Draw
32%

Shenzhen
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30.5%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

29.5%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubei Istar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hubei Istar's form might have worsened.

Shenzhen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubei Istar than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hubei Istar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shenzhen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hubei Istar - Shenzhen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Meng Derui (G) 3. Tang Xin 41. Yu Jingcheng 5. Wang Z. (C) 55. Liu Mingyu 12. Lin F. 20. Nie Aoshuang 8. Gao S. 10. Wen Jialong 14. Zhang Chengji 17. Chen Jiaqi	43. Yuan J. (G) 8. Chen W. 6. Luan Cheng (C) 5. Hai J. 4. Li Mingjie 49. Jiang W. 47. Huang Z. 45. Yuan Z. 57. Wang Ziyang 55. Huang Keqi 11. Lu C.
Substitutes
6. Du Xiaoyu 7. Guo Yi 33. Hongxiang S. 52. Huang W. 21. Li B. 30. Li Yubing 11. Li Z. 13. Pan Jinglue 16. Wei Deliang (G) 22. Xiang Yufei (G) 46. Yang B. 18. Zhu Shiqi	15. Chen Z. 29. Deng Z. 1. Hao M. (G) 30. Hu H. 20. Li L. 10. Li P. 14. Liu P. (G) 27. Liu Q. 9. Luo Kaisa 24. Pan N. 28. Wang Zhiyuan
Coaches
Wan Houliang	Wang Baoshan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Chen Jiaqi ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Wang Ziyang ⚽, Huang Z. (A),
30', Yu Jingcheng 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lin F. ↓, Li B. ↑,
62', Lu C. ↓, Li L. ↑,
64', Zhang Chengji ↓, Huang W. ↑,
78', Wang Ziyang 🟨,
79', Li Mingjie ↓, Chen Z. ↑,
79', Huang Z. ↓, Luo Kaisa ↑,
82', Chen Jiaqi ↓, Guo Yi ↑,
82', Liu Mingyu ↓, Pan Jinglue ↑,
88', Tang Xin ↓, Li Yubing ↑,
90+6', 1 - 2, Chen W. (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', Li B. 🟨,
90+6', Jiang W. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: ) and 6 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Shenzhen has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Shenzhen	25	11	8	6	38:27	11	41

Last Results with these Odds

Hubei Istar - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 39.97%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubei Istar
Chinese Yi League
26.05.26	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Hubei Istar	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Hubei Istar - Chengdu Rongcheng B	3:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
17.05.26	Hubei Istar - Guangxi Hengchen	0:4 ✺
Chinese Yi League
10.05.26	Guangdong Mingtu - Hubei Istar	1:2 ✺
04.05.26	Wuhan Three Towns B - Hubei Istar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLWT
- Shenzhen FC
Chinese Yi League
26.05.26	Shenzhen - Wenzhou Professional	4:0 ✺
22.05.26	Ganzhou Ruishi - Shenzhen	3:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
15.05.26	Shenzhen - Shaanxi Union	0:2 ✺
Chinese Yi League
09.05.26	Shenzhen - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	2:1 ✺
05.05.26	Shenzhen - Jiangxi Lushan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLWL

Hubei Istar - Shenzhen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide