The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shenzhen 48.3%
Draw 27.2%
Jiangxi Lushan 24.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.2%
29.2%
32.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.8%
29.5%
32.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shenzhen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shenzhen's performance.
Jiangxi Lushan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jiangxi Lushan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shenzhen that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jiangxi Lushan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Shenzhen - Jiangxi Lushan Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Shenzhen will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
43. Yuan J. (G) 45. Yuan Z. 9. Luo Kaisa 55. Huang Keqi 4. Li Mingjie 12. Yongsu Huang 8. Chen W. 6. Luan Cheng (C) 17. Shi Z. 57. Wang Ziyang 49. Jiang W.
12. Li Chen (G) 27. Zhang Yanjun (C) 5. Shi Jiwei 3. Wang Hongbin 22. Li Jiahao 6. Liu G. 26. Pi Ziyang 30. Huang J. 33. Guo Song 18. Yang Pengju 7. Sun Yue
Substitutes
15. Chen Z. 29. Deng Z. 5. Hai J. 1. Hao M. (G) 44. Huang Junxuan 47. Huang Z. 20. Li L. 10. Li P. 14. Liu P. (G) 27. Liu Q. 11. Lu C. 28. Wang Zhiyuan
10. Abdusalam S. 11. Bai Zijian 8. Cao Enze 2. He Quan 19. Jiang H. 1. Liang J. (G) 17. Li Chenguang 28. Li Tianle (G) 24. Li Yan 4. Zhang G.
Coaches
Wang Baoshan
Choi Jin-han
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
14', Liu G. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Sun Yue ⚽, Pi Ziyang (A),
31', 0 - 2, Zhang Yanjun ⚽, Li Jiahao (A),
45+2', Yang Pengju 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yongsu Huang ↓, Li L. ↑,
60', Shi Z. ↓, Li P. ↑,
69', Sun Yue ↓, Li Chenguang ↑,
69', Guo Song ↓, Zhang G. ↑,
72', Chen W. ↓, Chen Z. ↑,
73', Li Chenguang 🟨,
78', Pi Ziyang ↓, Cao Enze ↑,
80', Wang Hongbin 🟨,
84', Liu G. ↓, Bai Zijian ↑,
85', Wang Hongbin ↓, Jiang H. ↑,
86', Li Chen 🟨,
90+1', Zhang G. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: )).
Shenzhen is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Jiangxi Lushan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Shenzhen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).
Including home match between the teams, Shenzhen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
Watch
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Yuan J. (G) 
Choi Jin-han 
