Match Info

Yi League - Round 11

Date: 9 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Xinhua Road Sports Center (Wuhan)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports


	Hubei Istar		Taian Tiankuang

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.8	2.55	2.7
	2.62	2.82	2.68	Watch
	2.81	2.98	2.95
	2.47	3.18	2.71	Watch
	2.64	2.72	2.75	Watch
	2	2.8	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.16)	2.84 ↓ (3.02)	2.82 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hubei Istar
35.6%

Draw
32%

Taian Tiankuang
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

30.1%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

30.9%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubei Istar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hubei Istar's form might have worsened.

Taian Tiankuang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubei Istar than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hubei Istar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taian Tiankuang than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Taian Tiankuang, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Hubei Istar - Taian Tiankuang Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Hubei Istar will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Taian Tiankuang (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Hubei Istar (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hubei Istar (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Taian Tiankuang (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Wei Deliang (G) 66. Cui Shengcheng 54. Yu Tianle 41. Yu Jingcheng 46. Yang B. 55. Xia Z. 51. Gao S. 48. Wang Z. 10. Wen Jialong 57. Jiang L. 52. Huang W.	1. Wang Meng (G) 16. Yangyang Ma 18. Yue Zhilei 5. Nihmat Nihat 14. Hai Xiaorui 7. Zhang Xingliang 2. Yao Daogang 8. Yuan Xiuqi 11. Tan Fucheng 22. Bai Tianci 58. Ma Ruize
Substitutes
59. Huang Jiale 60. Hu Guiying (G) 26. Ke Zhao 65. Memetimin Mewlan 43. Wang Xinghao (G) 58. Wang Z. 17. Wu Yan (G) 42. Xia Jiayi 56. Xiong J. 68. Zhang Hao 61. Zhong Minghzi 47. Zhou Y.	19. Fan Weixiang (G) 32. Gao Shuo 56. Lai J. 15. Li Wei 6. Tang Qirun 52. Wang Bohan 36. Wang Jinze 23. Xie W.
Coaches
Gao Feng	Kai Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Wen Jialong ⚽, Xia Z. (A),
18', Gao S. 🟨,
28', Gao S. 🟨,
34', Wang Z. ↓, Xiong J. ↑,
36', Yu Jingcheng 🟨,
44', Yao Daogang 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Yao Daogang ↓, Li Wei ↑,
46', Zhang Xingliang ↓, Tang Qirun ↑,
46', Huang W. ↓, Zhang Hao ↑,
56', Yang B. ↓, Ke Zhao ↑,
70', Tan Fucheng ↓, Lai J. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Yue Zhilei ⚽, Hai Xiaorui (A),
77', Bai Tianci ↓, Wang Bohan ↑,
77', Cui Shengcheng ↓, Wang Z. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Wang Bohan ⚽, Tang Qirun (A),
86', 1 - 3, Tang Qirun ⚽, Lai J. (A),
90', Ma Ruize ↓, Xie W. ↑,
90+2', Yu Tianle ↓, Zhou Y. ↑,
90+5', Yuan Xiuqi ↓, Gao Shuo ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).

Hubei Istar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Taian Tiankuang is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hubei Istar will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hubei Istar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 2.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Hubei Istar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 4:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubei Istar
Chinese Yi League
06.07.25	Shanghai Port B - Hubei Istar	2:2 ✺
01.07.25	Hubei Istar - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	1:1 ✺
27.06.25	Nantong Haimen Codion - Hubei Istar	2:2 ✺
24.06.25	Changchun Xidu - Hubei Istar	1:0 ✺
21.06.25	Hubei Istar - Lanzhou Longyuan	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTTLL
- Taian Tiankuang
Chinese Yi League
06.07.25	Taian Tiankuang - Jiangxi Lushan	0:2 ✺
02.07.25	Lanzhou Longyuan - Taian Tiankuang	1:2 ✺
28.06.25	Shandong Taishan B - Taian Tiankuang	4:1 ✺
22.06.25	Taian Tiankuang - Nantong Haimen Codion	0:1 ✺
15.06.25	Changchun Xidu - Taian Tiankuang	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
30.06.24	Hubei Istar - Taian Tiankuang	4:0
15.04.24	Taian Tiankuang - Hubei Istar	0:1
29.07.23	Hubei Istar - Taian Tiankuang	4:1
11.06.23	Taian Tiankuang - Hubei Istar	2:1

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