The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hubei Istar 28.5%
Draw 29.7%
Lanzhou Longyuan 41.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.1%
30.4%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.9%
30.2%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hubei Istar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hubei Istar's form might have worsened.
Lanzhou Longyuan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lanzhou Longyuan's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubei Istar than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hubei Istar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanzhou Longyuan than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lanzhou Longyuan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hubei Istar - Lanzhou Longyuan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Meng Derui (G) 55. Liu Mingyu 27. Zhang Yixuan 20. Nie Aoshuang (C) 3. Tang Xin 57. Li X. 33. Hongxiang S. 15. Nur Sherzat 10. Wen Jialong 9. Shan Huanhuan 19. Qu D.
13. Mu Qianyu (C) 17. Erkin Ababekri 47. Yang Shengming 4. Xiao Yufeng 2. Luo H. 39. Chen Kerui 14. Zhang Zichao 10. Sun Xinkai 8. Abdukerim O. 7. Lu J. 40. Lu Zhiyuan
Substitutes
7. Guo Yi 12. Lin F. 30. Li Yubing 13. Pan Jinglue 23. Sun W. 25. Wang Y. 16. Wei Deliang (G) 22. Xiang Yufei (G) 41. Yu Jingcheng 18. Zhu Shiqi
42. Hu Yubo 22. Jiang W. 19. Liu Xinyu 18. Memetimin Mewlan 30. Wang Lingke 16. Wang S. 1. Zhang Jihao (G) 25. Zhang Yue 29. Zhao Xiaolong
Coaches
Wan Houliang
Zhang Xiaorui
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Wen Jialong ⚽, Shan Huanhuan (A),
27', Shan Huanhuan 🟨,
37', Shan Huanhuan ↓, Sun W. ↑,
38', 2 - 0, Wen Jialong ⚽, Qu D. (A),
45+1', Erkin Ababekri 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yang Shengming ↓, Zhao Xiaolong ↑,
46', Abdukerim O. ↓, Memetimin Mewlan ↑,
46', Lu Zhiyuan ↓, Liu Xinyu ↑,
56', Zhang Yixuan ↓, Yu Jingcheng ↑,
58', Nie Aoshuang 🟨,
67', Li X. ↓, Pan Jinglue ↑,
67', Liu Mingyu ↓, Li Yubing ↑,
69', Wen Jialong 🟨,
70', Qu D. ↓, Wang Y. ↑,
81', Nur Sherzat ↓, Zhu Shiqi ↑,
90', Memetimin Mewlan 🟨,
90+1', Luo H. 🟨,
Preview
Hubei Istar is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Lanzhou Longyuan shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Hubei Istar has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:6 (averaging 0.8:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hubei Istar against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).
China
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Meng Derui (G) 
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