Match Info

Premier League - Round 16

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Ferdi Neita Sports Complex (Portmore)


	Portmore United		Chapelton Maroons

	1	X	2
	1.78	2.98	4.4
	1.9	3	4.74	Watch
	1.85	2.8	4.4
	1.89	3.25	4.3	Watch
	1.85	2.85	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.79)	2.98 ↓ (3.15)	4.47 ↓ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portmore United
49.1%

Draw
30.6%

Chapelton Maroons
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

29.6%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

28.7%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portmore United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Chapelton Maroons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portmore United than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapelton Maroons than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Portmore United - Chapelton Maroons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portmore won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Chapelton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Portmore is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Portmore won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Portmore won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Portmore	2	1	1	0	5:2	3	4
10	Chapelton	4	1	1	2	3:10	-7	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portmore United
Jamaica National Premier League
05.01.26	Tivoli Gardens - Portmore United	2:2 ✺
28.12.25	Portmore United - Dunbeholden	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Treasure Beach - Portmore United	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Portmore United - Mount Pleasant	0:2 ✺
11.12.25	Waterhouse - Portmore United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TTLLW
- Chapelton Maroons
Jamaica National Premier League
04.01.26	Chapelton Maroons - Harbour View	2:1 ✺
01.01.26	Treasure Beach - Chapelton Maroons	0:1 ✺
29.12.25	Tivoli Gardens - Chapelton Maroons	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Chapelton Maroons - Cavalier	0:3 ✺
14.12.25	Dunbeholden - Chapelton Maroons	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
07.09.25	Chapelton Maroons - Portmore United	3:2
23.03.25	Portmore United - Chapelton Maroons	0:1
22.01.25	Chapelton Maroons - Portmore United	0:3
20.10.24	Portmore United - Chapelton Maroons	2:1
06.03.23	Portmore United - Chapelton Maroons	0:0
05.12.22	Chapelton Maroons - Portmore United	0:1

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