The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hume City 62.5%
Draw 21.1%
Port Melbourne Sharks 16.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.6%
22.2%
20.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.5%
21.5%
19.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hume City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
Port Melbourne Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hume City than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Melbourne Sharks than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
12.5%
0%
Hume City - Port Melbourne Sharks Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hume City (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Hume City will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Mells G. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Harker R. ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 1, Isgrove L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 3 - 1, Debele G. ⚽,
67', 4 - 1, Harker R. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13 in the zone Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hume City won 3.
Hume City has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Port Melbourne is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Hume City is a strong favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Hume City won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:23. (average 1.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Hume City won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:10. (average 2.2:1.1).