Match Info

Date: 24 September 2022, Saturday


	Hungerford Town		Ebbsfleet United

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.5	1.36
	6.1	4.3	1.4
	6.6	4.6	1.36
	7.88	4.86	1.37
	4.8	4	1.6
	7.5	4.8	1.33
	6.6	4.6	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.57 ↑ (3.86)	4.52 ↑ (3.5)	1.4 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hungerford Town
14%

Draw
20.3%

Ebbsfleet United
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

25.9%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

26.2%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hungerford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hungerford Town's form might have worsened.

Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ebbsfleet United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hungerford Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ebbsfleet United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Hungerford Town - Ebbsfleet United Predictions

Users Predictions: Ebbsfleet United will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).

Hungerford has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ebbsfleet in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Ebbsfleet have a series of home games.

In this match Ebbsfleet is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hungerford won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Hungerford won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hungerford Town
English FA Cup
17.09.22	Hungerford Town - Gloucester City	1:3 ✺
English National League South
14.09.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Hungerford Town	4:1 ✺
03.09.22	Hungerford Town - Taunton Town	0:1 ✺
29.08.22	Hungerford Town - Weymouth	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	Chippenham Town - Hungerford Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Ebbsfleet United
English FA Cup
17.09.22	Ebbsfleet United - Dover Athletic	2:0 ✺
English National League South
13.09.22	Ebbsfleet United - Braintree Town	4:0 ✺
03.09.22	Ebbsfleet United - Bath City	3:1 ✺
29.08.22	Ebbsfleet United - Dover Athletic	3:0 ✺
27.08.22	Concord Rangers - Ebbsfleet United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
02.04.22	Ebbsfleet United - Hungerford Town	1:2
13.11.21	Hungerford Town - Ebbsfleet United	3:4
24.10.20	Ebbsfleet United - Hungerford Town	3:2
18.02.17	Ebbsfleet United - Hungerford Town	1:0
13.08.16	Hungerford Town - Ebbsfleet United	1:1

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