The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ebbsfleet United 66.8%
Draw 19.6%
Dover Athletic 13.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.2%
18.5%
13.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.9%
17.8%
12.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ebbsfleet United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Dover Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Ebbsfleet United - Dover Athletic Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Nelson R. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, Chapman B. ⚽,
70', 3 - 0, Seaman C. ⚽,
78', 4 - 0, Appiah K. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ebbsfleet won 4.
Ebbsfleet has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Dover is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Dover may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Ebbsfleet is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ebbsfleet won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ebbsfleet won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).
Outrights of English National League South for now
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