Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 17

Date: 18 November 2025, Tuesday


	Hungerford Town		Evesham United

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.6	3.15
	1.94	3.76	3.28
	2.06	3.66	3.15	Watch
	1.98	3.52	3.2
	1.95	3.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.11)	3.61 ↑ (3.42)	3.26 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hungerford Town
46.5%

Draw
25.4%

Evesham United
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

26.4%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

24.1%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hungerford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Evesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hungerford Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evesham United than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Evesham United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hungerford Town - Evesham United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Messenger R. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Churchley K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', 2 - 1, Angell C. ⚽,
58', 3 - 1, McDonagh C. ⚽,
75', 3 - 2, Hutt L. ⚽,
77', 3 - 3, Dunbar E. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 16 and 12).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Hungerford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hungerford is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hungerford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hungerford Town
English Southern League South Division
08.11.25	Hungerford Town - Wimborne Town	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Sholing - Hungerford Town	5:3 ✺
25.10.25	Hungerford Town - Weymouth	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Hungerford Town - Plymouth Parkway	1:1 ✺
14.10.25	Uxbridge - Hungerford Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLTTL
- Evesham United
English Southern League South Division
15.11.25	Chertsey Town - Evesham United	4:0 ✺
08.11.25	Evesham United - Farnham Town	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Plymouth Parkway - Evesham United	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Evesham United - Uxbridge	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Evesham United - Hanwell Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
09.09.25	Evesham United - Hungerford Town	2:1

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