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Current Win Probability
Chertsey Town 59.3%
Draw 19.3%
Evesham United 21.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
59.4%
21.5%
19.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.7%
16.9%
24.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chertsey Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Evesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chertsey Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evesham United than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Chertsey Town - Evesham United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Harrison D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 2 - 0, Robertson L. ⚽,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9th and 14th).
Chertsey has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Evesham has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Bookmakers give the edge to Chertsey for this game.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Chertsey has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:1 (averaging 2.5:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chertsey against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:0 goals.
Watch
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