Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 16

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Chertsey Town		Evesham United

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.6	3.5
	1.77	3.92	3.74
	2.06	3.72	3.10	Watch
	1.82	3.6	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.06)	3.71 ↓ (3.72)	3.5 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chertsey Town
49.1%

Draw
24.7%

Evesham United
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

25%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

23.4%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chertsey Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Evesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chertsey Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evesham United than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Evesham United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chertsey Town - Evesham United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Mazzone J. ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, Wilson ⚽,
12', 3 - 0, Wilson ⚽,
17', 4 - 0, Lee C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 10).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Chertsey is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chertsey Town
English Southern League South Division
08.11.25	Dorchester Town - Chertsey Town	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Wimborne Town - Chertsey Town	4:1 ✺
21.10.25	Chertsey Town - Sholing	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Chertsey Town - Bracknell Town	1:1 ✺
14.10.25	Basingstoke Town - Chertsey Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLTTL
- Evesham United
English Southern League South Division
08.11.25	Evesham United - Farnham Town	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Plymouth Parkway - Evesham United	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Evesham United - Uxbridge	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Evesham United - Hanwell Town	1:0 ✺
14.10.25	Berkhamsted - Evesham United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL

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