Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 14

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Plymouth Parkway		Evesham United

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.6	2.78
	2.68	3.88	2.24	Watch
	2.12	3.56	2.87
	2.12	3.75	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.76)	3.7 (3.7)	2.68 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Parkway
40.7%

Draw
24.9%

Evesham United
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

25.2%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

25.3%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Parkway has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plymouth Parkway's performance.

Evesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Evesham United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plymouth Parkway that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evesham United than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Evesham United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Plymouth Parkway - Evesham United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Neal A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 16 and 8).

Plymouth Parkway has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Evesham has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Parkway
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Plymouth Parkway - Poole Town	2:1 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
18.10.25	Hungerford Town - Plymouth Parkway	1:1 ✺
14.10.25	Plymouth Parkway - Taunton Town	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Plymouth Parkway - Bracknell Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Plymouth Parkway - Gosport Borough	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WTWWW
- Evesham United
English Southern League South Division
25.10.25	Evesham United - Uxbridge	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Evesham United - Hanwell Town	1:0 ✺
14.10.25	Berkhamsted - Evesham United	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Evesham United - Tiverton Town	5:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Evesham United - Ilkeston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWL

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