The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hungerford Town 30.2%
Draw 26.2%
Gosport Borough 43.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33%
25.3%
41.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.3%
25.1%
41.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hungerford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Gosport Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gosport Borough than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Hungerford Town - Gosport Borough Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Tooze K. ⚽,
61', 2 - 0, Bowderry C. ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hungerford won 1.
Hungerford has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Gosport's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Hungerford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Hungerford won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.5:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Hungerford won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).