Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 33

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Plymouth Parkway		Hungerford Town

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.35	2.52
	2.45	3.54	2.54
	2.48	3.71	2.52	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.5
	2.41	3.35	2.5
	2.33	3.42	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.33)	3.43 ↓ (3.44)	2.52 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Parkway
37.6%

Draw
26.4%

Hungerford Town
35.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.7%

26.2%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

25.1%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Parkway has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Hungerford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Plymouth Parkway - Hungerford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Neal A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, Tooze K. ⚽,
69', 1 - 2, Austin C. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 18).

Recent performances by Plymouth Parkway have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hungerford is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Plymouth Parkway may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth Parkway won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 1.8:4.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth Parkway won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Plymouth Parkway	13	8	2	3	27:14	13	26

Last Results with these Odds

Plymouth Parkway - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 38.66%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Hungerford Town - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.18%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Parkway
English Southern League South Division
24.02.26	Hanwell Town - Plymouth Parkway	3:2 ✺
17.02.26	Plymouth Parkway - Walton & Hersham	0:4 ✺
14.02.26	Sholing - Plymouth Parkway	4:2 ✺
07.02.26	Plymouth Parkway - Berkhamsted	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Bracknell Town - Plymouth Parkway	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLLWW
- Hungerford Town
English Southern League South Division
24.02.26	Hungerford Town - Bracknell Town	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Taunton Town - Hungerford Town	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Hungerford Town - Walton & Hersham	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Poole Town - Hungerford Town	3:1 ✺
03.02.26	Yate Town - Hungerford Town	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
18.10.25	Hungerford Town - Plymouth Parkway	1:1
15.03.25	Plymouth Parkway - Hungerford Town	0:2
21.09.24	Hungerford Town - Plymouth Parkway	9:3
20.01.24	Plymouth Parkway - Hungerford Town	5:2
05.08.23	Hungerford Town - Plymouth Parkway	7:0

Plymouth Parkway - Hungerford Town