Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 4

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Tomás Adolfo Duco (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Huracán Buenos Aires		San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.7	3.4	Watch
	2.6	2.55	3.5	Watch
	2.66	2.63	3.66
	2.59	2.56	3.62
	2.6	2.45	3.4
	2.5	2.8	3.53	Watch
	2.57	2.54	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.51)	2.6 ↑ (2.53)	3.53 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huracán Buenos Aires
36.9%

Draw
36.3%

San Lorenzo
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

37%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

36.1%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huracán Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	69.2%	15.4%

Huracán Buenos Aires - San Lorenzo Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Huracán will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). San Lorenzo will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 8 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - San Lorenzo (3.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Huracán (1.28) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Huracán (votes: 2 - 18.2%). San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 8 - 72.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galindez H. (G) 4. Vera F. 6. Pereyra F. 3. Carrizo L. 25. Ibanez C. 8. Gil L. 20. Ojeda E. 15. Waller Martiarena F. F. 14. Martinez A. 9. Caicedo J. 7. Cortes O.	12. Gill O. (G) 34. Lopez F. 32. Herrera E. 23. Hernandez G. (C) 3. Rodriguez Pagano T. 24. Tripichio N. 5. Perruzzi I. 26. Abrego G. 7. Cerutti E. 9. Cuello A. 10. Gulli F.
Substitutes
17. Bisanz J. 34. Campo I. 18. Gimenez L. 19. Lescano L. 32. Meza S. (G) 41. Mora L. 21. Nervo H. 35. Palazzo M. 30. Paz N. 10. Peralta T. 11. Ramirez E. 26. Sequeira L.	15. Cardillo M. 16. Corujo G. 6. De Ritis M. 25. Devecchi J. (G) 18. Herazo D. 8. Insaurralde M. 14. Ladstatter A. 42. Lorenzon F. 21. Perruzzi F. 17. Rodriguez G. 19. Vietto L.
Coaches
Martinez D.	Ayude D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Gulli F. 🟨,
45', Carrizo L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gulli F. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
48', Cerutti E. 🟨,
50', 1 - 0, Caicedo J. ⚽, Ojeda E. (A),
56', Ibanez C. 🟨,
58', Lopez F. 🟨,
63', Abrego G. ↓, Vietto L. ↑,
70', Cerutti E. ↓, Herazo D. ↑,
74', Martinez A. ↓, Nervo H. ↑,
74', Cortes O. ↓, Bisanz J. ↑,
76', Caicedo J. 🟨,
80', Perruzzi I. ↓, Cardillo M. ↑,
80', Rodriguez Pagano T. ↓, Ladstatter A. ↑,
84', Ojeda E. ↓, Mora L. ↑,
90+3', Caicedo J. ↓, Gimenez L. ↑,
90+3', Gil L. ↓, Kalinger F. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huracán won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, San Lorenzo has had a series of home games.

Huracán will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Huracán: Rios M. (Ankle Injury) Zabala D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in San Lorenzo: Altamirano F. (Inactive) Barrios N. (Inactive) Cordoba A. (Muscle Injury) Herrera D. (Knee Injury) Montenegro L. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Huracán: Paz N. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Huracán won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Huracán won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

San Lorenzo - the odds 3.66 are the expected chance of winning is 25.64%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Huracán Buenos Aires
Argentinian Liga Profesional
31.01.26	Atlético Tucumán - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - Independiente Rivadavia	1:2 ✺
22.01.26	Banfield - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.01.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
13.01.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - Cerro Porteño	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLTTW
- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
31.01.26	San Lorenzo - Central Córdoba	1:0 ✺
27.01.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
23.01.26	San Lorenzo - Lanús	2:3 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
17.01.26	San Lorenzo - Cerro Porteño	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	San Lorenzo - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.08.25	San Lorenzo - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:0
23.02.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - San Lorenzo	2:0
20.07.24	San Lorenzo - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
24.02.24	Huracán Buenos Aires - San Lorenzo	0:0
30.09.23	San Lorenzo - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.03.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - San Lorenzo	1:1
01.10.22	San Lorenzo - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:0

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