Match Info

ARGENTINA: COPA DE LA LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 13

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Huracán Buenos Aires		Arsenal Sarandí

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	6	Watch
	1.63	3.3	6.25
	1.65	3.4	6	Watch
	1.65	3.45	7.26
	1.66	3.37	7.26
	1.65	3.48	5.95	Watch
	1.64	3.45	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.71)	3.42 ↓ (3.75)	6.39 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huracán Buenos Aires
57.5%

Draw
27.7%

Arsenal Sarandí
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

24.6%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

25.3%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huracán Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arsenal Sarandí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal Sarandí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	11.8%	0%

Huracán Buenos Aires - Arsenal Sarandí Predictions

Users Predictions: Huracán Buenos Aires will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chaves L. (G) 33. Souto L. 6. Pereyra F. 3. Carrizo L. 25. Ibanez C. 5. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 20. Echeverria R. 24. Fattori F. 8. Fertoli H. 21. Mazzantti W. 13. Coccaro M.	23. Medina A. (G) 4. Chimino C. 25. Breitenbruch N. 13. Pombo J. 5. Sporle A. 18. Muscia G. 11. Brochero L. 8. Rivero B. 20. Viveros E. 33. Cavallaro J. 21. Peinipil J.
Substitutes
16. Alfonso F. 14. Benitez A. G. 11. Godoy F. 32. Meza S. (G) 19. Perez M. 35. Pizarro P. 7. Pussetto I. 10. Roa A. 28. Sonora A. 22. Sonora J. 2. Tobio F. 4. Torrent F.	19. Aguirre N. 37. Alvarez A. 36. Amarilla A. 34. Brestt F. 14. Burruchaga M. 31. Cabrera I. 30. Cardozo F. 9. Londono F. 26. Martinez F. 28. Moreira L. 29. Sosa B. 1. Sultani T. (G)
Coaches
Martinez D.	Espinola D.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa de la Liga Profesional (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Huracán is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Huracán: Sonora A. (Injury) Sonora J. (Injury)

There will not play in Arsenal Sarandí: Centurion M. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Huracán won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Huracán won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Huracán Buenos Aires
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
03.11.23	River Plate - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:2 ✺
30.10.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - Barracas Central	0:0 ✺
24.10.23	Argentinos Juniors - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:2 ✺
20.10.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - Instituto Córdoba	1:3 ✺
Copa Argentina
13.10.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - Estudiantes La Plata	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WTWLL
- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
03.11.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0 ✺
29.10.23	Independiente - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
25.10.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Colón	1:0 ✺
20.10.23	Talleres de Córdoba - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1 ✺
09.10.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Banfield	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.04.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1
26.08.22	Arsenal Sarandí - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
19.02.22	Arsenal Sarandí - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.10.21	Huracán Buenos Aires - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0
21.02.15	Huracán Buenos Aires - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0

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