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Current Win Probability
Hutnik 39.4%
Draw 26.2%
Chojniczanka Chojnice 34.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.2%
26.9%
34.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.6%
27.2%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hutnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Chojniczanka Chojnice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hutnik than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chojniczanka Chojnice than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Hutnik - Chojniczanka Chojnice Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Medrala M. (G) 14. Bracik K. 27. Budzinski M. 5. Burka D. 17. Florek B. 13. Gandziarowski M. 11. Kordykiewicz O. 9. Rzepka K. 20. Sajdak P. 24. Sciuk D. 19. Zawada O.
29. Primel D. (G) 27. Adamczyk H. 2. Bakowicz M. 10. Famulak M. 80. Mosek F. 97. Oleksiewicz J. 20. Sabala V. (C) 7. Szczepanek B. 33. Teclaw J. 19. Tkocz M. 3. Yukhymovych D.
Substitutes
16. Bil S. 47. Galek I. 26. Laskowski F. 23. Lelek K. 37. Motrych A. 33. Nowak W. (G) 25. Nweke V. 98. Pietruszka D. 18. Soja M.
88. Czerniewicz A. (G) 67. Czyzewski A. 11. Janicki K. 44. Smolarczyk J. 30. Sobeczko J. 9. Sobol H. 8. Stypulkowski S. 43. Szot D. 31. Zywicki J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Sajdak P. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Sabala V. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 1 - 2, Mosek F. ⚽,
55', Florek B. ↓, Nweke V. ↑,
55', Kordykiewicz O. ↓, Pietruszka D. ↑,
59', Yukhymovych D. 🟨,
61', Rzepka K. 🟨,
66', Oleksiewicz J. ↓, Stypulkowski S. ↑,
66', Adamczyk H. ↓, Janicki K. ↑,
67', Bracik K. 🟨,
70', Mosek F. ↓, Sobeczko J. ↑,
73', Budzinski M. ↓, Laskowski F. ↑,
73', Gandziarowski M. ↓, Motrych A. ↑,
79', Rzepka K. ↓, Lelek K. ↑,
85', Sabala V. 🟨,
87', Sabala V. ↓, Sobol H. ↑,
90+3', Nweke V. 🟨,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Division 2 Promotion - Playoffs and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hutnik won 1.
Hutnik is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Chojniczanka have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Hutnik may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Hutnik has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:22 (averaging 1.1:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hutnik against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:5 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Hutnik Krakow
13
5
3
5
20:18
2
18
11
Chojniczanka
13
5
3
5
23:23
0
18
Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now
Chojniczanka: 0.81% Hutnik Krakow: 0.81%
Last Results with these Odds
Hutnik - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 38.2%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Poland
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Medrala M. (G) 
Sabala V. (C) 
Yukhymovych D. 
Nweke V. 
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