Match Info

Division 2 - Round 29

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Suche Stawy (Kraków)


	Hutnik		Chojniczanka Chojnice

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.15	2.62
	2.29	3.27	2.98
	2.55	3.28	2.69	Watch
	2.6	2.9	2.5
	2.29	3.1	2.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.69)	3.14 ↓ (3.28)	2.74 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hutnik
37.6%

Draw
29.1%

Chojniczanka Chojnice
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

27.7%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

27.7%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hutnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Chojniczanka Chojnice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chojniczanka Chojnice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hutnik than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chojniczanka Chojnice than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chojniczanka Chojnice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hutnik - Chojniczanka Chojnice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wroblewski K. (G) 18. Basse A. 14. Bracik K. 5. Burka D. 3. Holuj F. 4. Kedziora L. 76. Kielis P. 24. Semik K. 10. Sowinski M. 6. Urbanczyk M. 43. Zawada O.	29. Primel D. (G) 2. Bakowicz M. 22. Bykov O. 24. Eizenchart B. 9. Firlej M. 21. Golinski J. 79. Kozina M. 66. Olejnik P. 20. Sabala V. 7. Szczepanek B. 19. Tkocz M.
Substitutes
16. Bil S. 2. Galazka A. 13. Gandziarowski M. 96. Guerrier W. 45. Hoyo-Kowalski D. 12. Hoyo-Kowalski D. (G) 8. Jopek S. 19. Rzepka K. 21. Szablowski K.	1. Antkowiak M. (G) 16. Kacerik A. 10. Kaminski D. 23. Meyer M. 34. Nowacki D. 97. Oleksiewicz J. 31. Zywicki J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Kielis P. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Basse A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Olejnik P. ↓, Zywicki J. ↑,
60', Kielis P. ↓, Hoyo-Kowalski D. ↑,
60', Kedziora L. ↓, Gandziarowski M. ↑,
66', Firlej M. ↓, Oleksiewicz J. ↑,
66', Eizenchart B. ↓, Kaminski D. ↑,
66', Szczepanek B. ↓, Nowacki D. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Sabala V. ⚽,
74', Tkocz M. 🟨,
75', Sowinski M. ↓, Szablowski K. ↑,
75', Holuj F. ↓, Guerrier W. ↑,
80', Semik K. ↓, Jopek S. ↑,
89', Burka D. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hutnik won 1.

Hutnik is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chojniczanka is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chojniczanka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Hutnik won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 1.1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hutnik won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now

Chojniczanka: 2.04% Hutnik Krakow: 1.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Hutnik Krakow	10	4	3	3	16:13	3	15
11	Chojniczanka	10	4	2	4	17:17	0	14

Last Results with these Odds

Hutnik - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 33.74%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Chojniczanka Chojnice - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 38.54%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hutnik Kraków
Polish Division 2
19.04.26	Swit Skolwin - Hutnik	1:4 ✺
12.04.26	Hutnik - Sokół Kleczew	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Hutnik	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Hutnik - Unia Skierniewice	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	GKS Jastrzębie - Hutnik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWTTW
- Chojniczanka Chojnice
Polish Division 2
18.04.26	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Stal Stalowa Wola	3:3 ✺
10.04.26	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Swit Skolwin	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Chojniczanka Chojnice - GKS Jastrzębie	N/A ✺
22.03.26	Sokół Kleczew - Chojniczanka Chojnice	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWW?W

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
22.10.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Hutnik	2:1
23.03.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Hutnik	3:0
24.08.24	Hutnik - Chojniczanka Chojnice	3:2
13.04.24	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Hutnik	2:2
30.09.23	Hutnik - Chojniczanka Chojnice	0:2
Polish Cup
27.07.22	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Hutnik	3:1 ET
Polish Division 2
02.04.22	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Hutnik	3:2

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