The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hércules 71.6%
Draw 19.8%
Marchamalo 8.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.9%
20.2%
9.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
74.4%
21.5%
9.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Marchamalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Hércules - Marchamalo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
Hércules is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)
Marchamalo is Relegated to
Both teams are now playing unstable.
In this match Hércules is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Hércules won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.