Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 18

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio José Rico Pérez (Alicante)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Hércules		Sabadell

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.8	4.1
	2.35	2.75	2.95
	2.05	2.88	3.9
	2.55	2.65	3.34	Watch
	2.1	2.63	3.8
	2.03	2.92	4.27
	1.96	2.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.36)	2.77 ↓ (2.8)	3.79 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hércules
42.8%

Draw
33.1%

Sabadell
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

32.5%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

32.5%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Sabadell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Hércules - Sabadell Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Hércules will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Sabadell will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hércules will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trujillo Hernandez A. C. (G) 5. Monsalve N. 4. Rentero J. 24. Jimenez J. 28. Galvan J. 14. Ben Hamed N. 8. Mangada C. 22. Aranda A. 11. Ropero U. 17. De Leon J. 19. Sol F.	1. Fuoli D. (G) 3. Fornes G. 5. Bonaldo 4. Garcia C. 21. Sergi 14. Astals D. 20. Orriols Cerarols A. 22. Liameed Q. 19. Lopez J. 23. Priego J. 17. Coscia A.
Substitutes
3. Alvarez A. 13. Blazic A. (G) 15. Cantero R. 23. de Palmas R. 10. Espinosa N. 16. Gomes V. 21. Retu 18. Rojas C. 9. Slavy 20. Sotillos A. 2. Vazquez S.	2. Aleman C. 28. Ciurans O. (G) 27. Estebe L. 11. Martinez R. 8. Moreno X. 18. Ortega J. 7. Ripoll T. 29. Utges J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Lopez J. ⚽,
21', Lopez J. 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Monsalve N. ⚽,
40', Monsalve N. 🟥,
44', Ben Hamed N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Aranda A. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
46', De Leon J. ↓, Gomes V. ↑,
46', Fornes G. ↓, Ripoll T. ↑,
48', 1 - 2, Lopez J. ⚽,
67', Priego J. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
68', Jimenez J. 🟨,
69', Galvan J. ↓, Vazquez S. ↑,
69', Ropero U. ↓, Espinosa N. ↑,
74', 🟨,
78', 1 - 3, Martinez R. (Penalty Awarded),
78', Mangada C. ↓, Slavy ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hércules won 2.

Hércules is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sabadell has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Hércules won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:15. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Hércules won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:4. (average 1.8:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Hercules	6	3	1	2	5:5	0	10

Last Results with these Odds

Hércules - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 38.57%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hércules CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.12.25	Marbella - Hércules	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Hércules	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Hércules - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Hércules	2:2 ✺
22.11.25	Hércules - Betis B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTWTW
- Sabadell FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.12.25	Sabadell - Atlético Madrid B	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Real Murcia - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Sabadell - Ibiza	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Sabadell - Deportivo A Coruña	0:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.11.25	CE Europa - Sabadell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
02.02.20	Sabadell - Hércules	1:2
15.09.19	Hércules - Sabadell	0:2
20.04.19	Hércules - Sabadell	2:0
02.12.18	Sabadell - Hércules	2:1
21.01.18	Sabadell - Hércules	1:1
03.09.17	Hércules - Sabadell	2:0
22.01.17	Hércules - Sabadell	1:0

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