Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio José Rico Pérez (Alicante)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Hércules		Villarreal B

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.7
	2.08	3.1	3.5
	1.86	3.25	5.31
	2.34	2.36	4.45	Watch
	2.04	3.1	3.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.23)	2.98 ↓ (3.05)	4.14 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hércules
45.6%

Draw
31.6%

Villarreal B
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.9%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

28.3%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Villarreal B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villarreal B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Hércules - Villarreal B Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trujillo Hernandez A. C. (C) 28. Galvan J. 4. Rentero J. 20. Sotillos A. 24. Jimenez J. 7. Soldevila O. 8. Mangada C. 6. Colomina R. 11. Ropero U. 9. Slavy 22. Aranda A.	1. Gomez R. (G) 2. Budesca D. 4. Sierra I. 23. Valou J. 3. Ortiz E. 11. Lopez H. 8. Diatta A. 28. Macia C. 7. Moreno V. (C) 22. Viveros F. 9. Rubio A.
Substitutes
3. Alvarez A. 14. Ben Hamed N. 15. Cantero R. 17. De Leon J. 23. de Palmas R. 25. Mompean M. (G) 21. Retu 18. Rojas C. 19. Sol F.	19. Barry M. 30. Garcia A. 5. Gil F. 25. Kinareykin Y. (G) 16. Pascual P. 10. Quintero L. 21. Rodriguez I. 15. Tidiane Thiam C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Diatta A. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Soldevila O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 🟨,
54', 🟨,
61', Lopez H. ↓, Gaitan J. ↑,
61', Ropero U. ↓, Ben Hamed N. ↑,
61', Mangada C. ↓, Rojas C. ↑,
61', Slavy ↓, Sol F. ↑,
68', 🟨,
74', Galvan J. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
75', Moreno V. ↓, Quintero L. ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Soldevila O. ⚽,
84', Aranda A. ↓, De Leon J. ↑,
84', Diatta A. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hércules won 2.

Hércules is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Villarreal B's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hércules may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hércules is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Hércules won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:27. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Hércules won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.6:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hércules CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.10.25	Teruel - Hércules	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Hércules - Alcorcón	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Cartagena - Hércules	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Hércules - Algeciras	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Ibiza - Hércules	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- Villarreal B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.10.25	Villarreal B - Betis B	4:1 ✺
03.10.25	Villarreal B - Atlético Madrid B	1:3 ✺
27.09.25	Sabadell - Villarreal B	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Real Murcia - Villarreal B	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Villarreal B - CE Europa	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.07.25	Villarreal B - Hércules	2:3
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.05.25	Villarreal B - Hércules	2:1
17.11.24	Hércules - Villarreal B	0:2
Club Friendly
26.07.24	Villarreal B - Hércules	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
06.03.21	Villarreal B - Hércules	2:1
06.12.20	Hércules - Villarreal B	0:0
18.01.20	Villarreal B - Hércules	1:0

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