Match Info

Date: 5 December 2021, Sunday


	Hércules		Águilas

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.25	3.8
	1.7	3.5	4.2
	1.75	3.15	4.5
	1.91	3.32	4.16
	1.89	3.22	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.99)	3.29 ↓ (3.3)	4.16 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hércules
50.3%

Draw
27.8%

Águilas
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

28%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

21.6%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hércules, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Hércules - Águilas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 12).

Recent matches Hércules is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Águilas has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hércules could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hércules is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hércules CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.11.21	Melilla - Hércules	1:2 ✺
21.11.21	Hércules - Real Murcia	3:0 ✺
14.11.21	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Hércules	2:1 ✺
07.11.21	Eldense - Hércules	2:2 ✺
31.10.21	Hércules - La Nucía	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLTT
- Águilas FC
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.11.21	Águilas - Almería	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.11.21	Águilas - Eldense	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	La Nucía - Águilas	0:0 ✺
14.11.21	Águilas - El Ejido	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Levante B - Águilas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTLL

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