Match Info

Date: 28 November 2021, Sunday


	Melilla		Hércules

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.1	3.25	3
	2.14	3.15	3.1
	2.18	3.04	3.45
	2.16	3.14	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.22)	3.14 ↓ (3.15)	3.2 (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
42.6%

Draw
29%

Hércules
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

29.4%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

21.7%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hércules, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Melilla - Hércules Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 7).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Melilla will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
21.11.21	Eldense - Melilla	2:1 ✺
14.11.21	Melilla - La Nucía	1:0 ✺
07.11.21	El Ejido - Melilla	3:1 ✺
31.10.21	Melilla - Levante B	1:0 ✺
24.10.21	Pulpileño - Melilla	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWLWW
- Hércules CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
21.11.21	Hércules - Real Murcia	3:0 ✺
14.11.21	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Hércules	2:1 ✺
07.11.21	Eldense - Hércules	2:2 ✺
31.10.21	Hércules - La Nucía	0:0 ✺
24.10.21	El Ejido - Hércules	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLTTW

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