Match Info
Serie D - Round 9Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
IAPE |
|
Sampaio Corrêa |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
4.45 |
3.1 |
1.78 |
|
 |
4.5 |
3.3 |
1.82 |
|
 |
4.28 |
3.51 |
1.76 |
|
 |
4.5 |
2.9 |
1.75 |
|
 |
4.8 |
3.22 |
1.72 |
|
 |
2.78 |
2.84 |
2.58 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.22 ↑
(2.75) |
3.15 ↑
(2.8) |
1.9 ↓
(2.55) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
IAPE
21.9% | Draw
29.4% | Sampaio Corrêa
48.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IAPE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that IAPE's form might have worsened.Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sampaio Corrêa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for IAPE than the current prediction. (+11.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for IAPE, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-14.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sampaio Corrêa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.IAPE - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', Gustavo Cutrim 🟥,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Gean ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 53', 1 - 1, Richarles ⚽,
- 56', 1 - 2, Itambe ⚽,
- 82', 1 - 3, Esquerdinha ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, IAPE won 0.Recent form of IAPE has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).Sampaio Corrêa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Sampaio Corrêa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Sampaio Corrêa is a strong favorite.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, IAPE won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.3:1.1).Including home matches between the teams, IAPE won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 11.04.26 | Sampaio Corrêa - IAPE | 0:0 | | Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense | | | 14.01.26 | Sampaio Corrêa - IAPE | 0:0 | | 30.03.25 | Sampaio Corrêa - IAPE | 3:1 | | 15.01.25 | IAPE - Sampaio Corrêa | 0:3 | | 11.01.23 | IAPE - Sampaio Corrêa | 0:1 | | 08.02.22 | IAPE - Sampaio Corrêa | 0:1 | | 21.04.21 | Sampaio Corrêa - IAPE | 0:1 |
|
Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
