Match Info

Division 2 - Norrland - Promotion Group

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	IFK Östersunds		Luleå

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.75	3.15
	1.96	4.03	3.05	Watch
	1.92	3.74	3.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.9)	3.84 ↑ (3.6)	3.11 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IFK Östersunds
47%

Draw
23.7%

Luleå
29.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.3%

24.4%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

25.3%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IFK Östersunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

The chances for Luleå have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Östersunds than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luleå than the current prediction. (-1%)

IFK Östersunds - Luleå Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, Haggman I. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, ⚽,
41', 2 - 1, Loof H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Sundstrom T. 🟨,
85', Alatalo J. 🟥,
90+2', 2 - 2, Petersson M. ⚽,

Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4th and 2nd).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, IFK Östersunds won 2.

IFK Östersunds has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Luleå shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

IFK Östersunds is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, IFK Östersunds has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:21 (averaging 1.7:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for IFK Östersunds against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:5 goals (averaging 1.2:0.8 per game).

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	IFK Lulea	14	9	1	4	25:19	6	53
4	IFK Ostersund	14	7	3	4	35:22	13	41

Last Results with these Odds

IFK Östersunds - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 46.27%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Östersunds
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
10.10.26	Kubikensborgs - IFK Östersunds	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Lucksta - IFK Östersunds	2:5 ✺
26.09.26	IFK Östersunds - Boden	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Täfteå - IFK Östersunds	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	IFK Östersunds - Gottne	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLW
- IFK Luleå
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
10.10.26	Luleå - Gottne	3:1 ✺
03.10.26	Luleå - Skellefteå FF	4:2 ✺
26.09.26	Kubikensborgs - Luleå	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Luleå - Lucksta	3:1 ✺
16.09.26	Boden - Luleå	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
01.08.26	Luleå - IFK Östersunds	4:3
11.10.25	Luleå - IFK Östersunds	3:4
09.08.25	IFK Östersunds - Luleå	2:1
21.09.24	Luleå - IFK Östersunds	1:1
21.04.24	IFK Östersunds - Luleå	2:2
23.09.23	Luleå - IFK Östersunds	4:1
03.06.23	IFK Östersunds - Luleå	0:0

IFK Östersunds - Luleå