Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Norrland - Round 17

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday


	IFK Östersunds		Umeå

	1	X	2
	1.19	6	10.5
	1.22	6	9.5
	1.22	5.71	7.7
	1.24	5.87	8.8	Watch
	1.29	5	7
	1.2	6.3	9.25
	1.22	6	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.41)	5.84 ↑ (4.5)	8.89 ↑ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IFK Östersunds
74.2%

Draw
15.6%

Umeå
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

19.3%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IFK Östersunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in IFK Östersunds's performance.

Umeå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Umeå might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Östersunds than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with IFK Östersunds that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

IFK Östersunds - Umeå Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Tegnhed P. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
60', 2 - 0, Talsi S. ⚽,
65', 2 - 1, Nuredin A. ⚽,
69', 3 - 1, Essebrink R. ⚽,
90+7', 4 - 1, Omeje Ch. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches IFK Östersunds won 3.

IFK Östersunds in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Umeå is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

IFK Östersunds could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match IFK Östersunds is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's IFK Östersunds to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 9 head-to-head matches IFK Östersunds won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-14.

Including matches at home between the teams IFK Östersunds won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Östersunds
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
10.08.24	Älgarna-Härnösand - IFK Östersunds	1:3 ✺
03.08.24	IFK Östersunds - Skellefteå FF	1:0 ✺
30.06.24	Kiruna - IFK Östersunds	0:3 ✺
Svenska Cupen
26.06.24	IFK Östersunds - Hudiksvall	1:0 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
20.06.24	IFK Östersunds - Kiruna	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWWW
- Umeå FC
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
11.08.24	Umeå - Ytterhogdal	3:1 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
09.08.24	Friska Viljor - Umeå	1:5 ✺
04.08.24	Umeå - Assyriska Föreningen	3:1 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
04.08.24	Lucksta - Umeå	3:2 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
30.06.24	Assyriska Föreningen - Umeå	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
11.05.24	Umeå - IFK Östersunds	2:0
27.08.22	IFK Östersunds - Umeå	4:0
07.05.22	Umeå - IFK Östersunds	2:4
09.10.21	IFK Östersunds - Umeå	0:0
02.10.21	Umeå - IFK Östersunds	2:3
22.08.20	Umeå - IFK Östersunds	2:1
30.06.19	Umeå - IFK Östersunds	4:1

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