Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 26

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Jarfallavallen (Jarfalla) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Sweden	15:00	Ettan Play


	Järfälla		Umeå

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.10	3.60	1.93
	3.05	3.70	1.94
	3.05	4.08	2.00
	2.74	4.03	2.19	Watch
	3.00	4.00	1.97
	3.10	3.82	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.98)	3.87 ↑ (3.69)	2.02 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Järfälla
30.6%

Draw
23.8%

Umeå
45.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.2%

24.4%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

23.5%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Järfälla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Umeå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Järfälla than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Järfälla - Umeå Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. von Feilitzen E. (G) 28. Abdulle A. 3. Akdemir N. 4. Aksoy Y. 23. Danha C. F. 26. Dibaga D. 20. Drugge E. 17. Khalil A. 8. Medhin T N. 22. Moller O. 9. Wurtz A.	1. Eriksson P. (G) 3. Andersson R. 16. Bawa Z. 26. Ekman D. 33. Essombe Mambingo J. 17. Forsman S. 8. Godwin F. 2. Linden N. 25. Njie M. 7. Sandstrom A. 19. Shakir A.
Substitutes
19. Dahir K. 1. Eide B. (G) 7. Fox C. 12. Markovski D. 16. Sabery A. 6. Saweris P. 15. Tinnborg H.	9. Hadad R. 5. Hakansson N. 23. Johansson I. 22. Lindgren T. 35. Pihlblad L. (G) 15. Wagnsson S. 12. Yeboah E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
25', 🟨,
40', 0 - 2, ⚽,
42', Njie M. ↓, Johansson I. ↑,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 🟨,
69', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 15th in the Relegation and 10th).

Recent results have been tough for Järfälla (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Umeå have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Umeå may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Järfälla has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Umea FC	28	11	6	11	40:44	-4	39
15	Jarfalla	28	6	5	17	39:60	-21	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Järfälla
Swedish Division 1 Norra
03.10.26	Stocksund - Järfälla	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Järfälla - AFC Eskilstuna	2:4 ✺
20.09.26	Piteå - Järfälla	3:1 ✺
17.09.26	Järfälla - Karlberg	5:0 ✺
12.09.26	Gefle - Järfälla	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLLWL
- Umeå FC
Swedish Division 1 Norra
04.10.26	Umeå - Hammarby TFF	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Umeå - FBK Karlstad	1:3 ✺
20.09.26	Stocksund - Umeå	0:3 ✺
16.09.26	Piteå - Umeå	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Umeå - Stockholm Internazionale	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
28.06.26	Umeå - Järfälla	1:3

Upcoming Matches