Match Info

SWEDEN: ALLSVENSKAN - ROUND 14

Date: 10 July 2023, Monday

Location: Gamla Ullevi (Göteborg)

Referee: Al-Hakim M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Sweden	Discovery+


	IFK Göteborg		Varbergs BoIS

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	5.75	Watch
	1.57	3.9	5.5
	1.6	4	5.75
	1.61	4.04	6.2
	1.53	3.7	5	Watch
	1.59	4.05	5.65	Watch
	1.57	4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.79)	3.93 ↑ (3.51)	5.66 ↑ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IFK Göteborg
59.5%

Draw
23.9%

Varbergs BoIS
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

26.8%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

24%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IFK Göteborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in IFK Göteborg's performance.

Varbergs BoIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Göteborg than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with IFK Göteborg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varbergs BoIS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	17.9%	10.7%

IFK Göteborg - Varbergs BoIS Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Göteborg will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%). Varberg will win (votes: 3 - 10.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Göteborg: 54.7% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dahlberg P. (G) 15. Hausner S. 13. Svensson G. 3. Bangsbo J. 17. Wendt O. 8. Hagen E. 21. Carlen A. 28. Kahed L. 29. Santos T. 9. Berg M. (C) 14. Norlin G.	43. Lukic S. (C) 18. Lindner J. 4. Stanisic O. 3. Zackrisson H. 20. Silverholt O. 8. Le Roux L. 10. Lushaku I. 5. Nogueira V. 21. Karlsson V. 37. Krasniqi D. 11. Eliton Junior
Substitutes
12. Benediktsson A. (G) 25. Bishesari E. (G) 16. Carlstrand L. 18. Eriksson F. 7. Eriksson S. 27. Ghasem A. 11. Markovic E. 19. Mucolli A. 24. Salaou A.	24. Alfonsi D. 2. Birkfeldt J. 40. Dahlstrom N. 39. El Ouatki Y. 1. Olsson D. (G) 45. Sainte M. 6. Sisse F. 38. Sverrisson O. 7. Tranberg R.
Coaches
Berthel Askou J.	Skogman M.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Göteborg won 2.

Göteborg is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Varberg has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Göteborg have a series of guest games.

In this match Göteborg is a favorite.

There will not play in Göteborg: Carneil H. (Injury) Ohlsson S. (Injury) Salomonsson E. (Injury)

There will not play in Varberg: Liljenback A. (Knee Injury) Mensah G. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Varberg: Birkfeldt J. (Injury) Tshikupe M. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Göteborg won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Göteborg won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Göteborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
02.07.23	Halmstad - IFK Göteborg	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.06.23	Malmö - IFK Göteborg	0:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
11.06.23	Sirius - IFK Göteborg	2:0 ✺
03.06.23	IFK Göteborg - Mjällby	0:1 ✺
29.05.23	Häcken - IFK Göteborg	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWLLL
- Varbergs BoIS
Swedish Allsvenskan
02.07.23	Djurgården - Varbergs BoIS	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.06.23	Elfsborg - Varbergs BoIS	6:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
10.06.23	Varbergs BoIS - Halmstad	1:2 ✺
05.06.23	Varbergs BoIS - Häcken	0:2 ✺
29.05.23	Degerfors - Varbergs BoIS	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
08.08.22	Varbergs BoIS - IFK Göteborg	0:4
15.05.22	IFK Göteborg - Varbergs BoIS	1:1
23.08.21	IFK Göteborg - Varbergs BoIS	1:2
26.07.21	Varbergs BoIS - IFK Göteborg	2:0
04.10.20	IFK Göteborg - Varbergs BoIS	1:0
18.06.20	Varbergs BoIS - IFK Göteborg	1:2
Svenska Cupen
17.02.18	IFK Göteborg - Varbergs BoIS	1:0

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