Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 9

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday

Location: Gamla Ullevi (Göteborg)

Referee: Johnson O. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play


	IFK Göteborg		Mjällby

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.7	Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.45
	2.52	3.1	2.82
	2.53	3.31	3.01
	2.66	3.08	3.02	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.75
	2.58	3.04	2.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (3.11)	3.13 ↓ (3.46)	2.8 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IFK Göteborg
36.3%

Draw
30.1%

Mjällby
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

27.3%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

27%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IFK Göteborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in IFK Göteborg's performance.

Mjällby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mjällby might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Göteborg than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with IFK Göteborg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mjällby could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

IFK Göteborg - Mjällby Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Göteborg will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Mjällby will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mjällby: 31.2% – 83%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Mjällby (2.06) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mjällby (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Bishesari E. (G) 17. Jallow A. 4. Yeboah R. 5. Bager J. 16. Ottosson F. 29. Bergmark-Wiberg A. 3. Erlingmark A. (C) 15. Kruse D. 26. Brantlind B. 7. Clemmensen S. 14. Heintz T.	13. Wallinder R. (G) 2. Svanberg L. 4. Noren A. 5. Iqbal A. 14. Granath V. 22. Gustavsson J. (C) 6. Thorell L. 27. Tidstrand L. 29. Lindberg O. 18. Bergstrom J. 10. Kjaer J.
Substitutes
11. Alioum S. 34. Andersson F. (G) 27. Boren A. 30. Coimbra T. 18. Eriksson F. 9. Fenger M. 8. Jagne I. 10. Lundqvist R. 23. Thordarson K.	26. Andersen I. 39. Arrhenius R. 15. Bang-Kittilsen B. 8. Helge T. 31. Hodzic D. 35. Lundin A. (G) 28. Rosen C. 23. Samuelsen A. 3. Tchouante C.
Coaches
Billborn S.	Aksum K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Bergstrom J. 🟨,
45', Erlingmark A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Kjaer J. 🟨,
51', 1 - 0, Clemmensen S. ⚽,
55', Bergmark-Wiberg A. 🟨,
56', Svanberg L. ↓, Samuelsen A. ↑,
56', Lindberg O. ↓, Helge T. ↑,
57', Yeboah R. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Bergstrom J. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Clemmensen S. 🟨,
68', Clemmensen S. ↓, Alioum S. ↑,
74', Samuelsen A. 🟨,
77', Ottosson F. ↓, Thordarson K. ↑,
77', Brantlind B. ↓, Lundqvist R. ↑,
80', Kruse D. 🟨,
82', Bergmark-Wiberg A. ↓, Fenger M. ↑,
82', Kjaer J. ↓, Arrhenius R. ↑,
90', 🟨,
90+5', Thordarson K. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Göteborg won 2.

Göteborg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mjällby is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Göteborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Göteborg: Andersson V. (Inactive) Ersoy G. (Inactive) Kahed L. (Hip Injury) Mucolli A. (Knee Injury) Rasheed J. (Inactive) Tolf N. (Inactive)

There will not play in Mjällby: Gustafson V. (Suspended)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Göteborg won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:26. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Göteborg won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Goteborg	23	10	5	8	32:41	-9	35
12	Mjallby	23	5	8	10	28:39	-11	23

Last Results with these Odds

Mjällby - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 42.35%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Göteborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
19.05.26	Örgryte - IFK Göteborg	2:3 ✺
09.05.26	IFK Göteborg - Hammarby	0:1 ✺
04.05.26	Djurgården - IFK Göteborg	6:0 ✺
26.04.26	IFK Göteborg - GAIS	2:2 ✺
23.04.26	Kalmar - IFK Göteborg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLTT
- Mjällby AIF
Swedish Allsvenskan
21.05.26	Elfsborg - Mjällby	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Mjällby - Häcken	0:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
14.05.26	Mjällby - Hammarby	2:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
09.05.26	Degerfors - Mjällby	1:4 ✺
03.05.26	Malmö - Mjällby	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
20.10.25	IFK Göteborg - Mjällby	0:2
04.05.25	Mjällby - IFK Göteborg	1:0
10.11.24	Mjällby - IFK Göteborg	1:0
21.05.24	IFK Göteborg - Mjällby	1:0
24.09.23	Mjällby - IFK Göteborg	0:1
03.06.23	IFK Göteborg - Mjällby	0:1
05.09.22	Mjällby - IFK Göteborg	1:4

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