The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Varbergs BoIS 11.7%
Draw 18.1%
Häcken 70.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
15.1%
21.1%
63.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.8%
20.7%
64.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varbergs BoIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Häcken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Häcken's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Häcken than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Häcken, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.3%
7.3%
85.5%
Varbergs BoIS - Häcken Predictions
Users Predictions:
Häcken will win
(47 of 55 users predict this - 85.45%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.13% – 94.77%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
43. Lukic S. (G) 22. Frigell Jansson L. 18. Lindner J. 4. Stanisic O. 5. Nogueira V. 8. Le Roux L. 7. Tranberg R. (C) 21. Karlsson V. 11. Eliton Junior 14. Alfonsi O. 37. Krasniqi D.
26. Abrahamsson P. (G) 12. Fridriksson V. 3. Hammar J. 5. Hovland E. 25. Lund K. 18. Rygaard M. 11. Gustafson S. (C) 27. Romeo A. 23. Sonko M. L. 7. Traore B. 24. Larsen L.
Substitutes
24. Alfonsi D. 29. Andersson F. (G) 25. Berggren A. 40. Dahlstrom N. 39. El Ouatki Y. 12. Ronnberg V. 20. Silverholt O. 38. Sverrisson O. 3. Zackrisson H.
1. Brattberg J. (G) 16. Dahbo P. 14. Gustafson S. 35. Jansson S. 9. Kamara O. 13. Sandberg S. 21. Totland T.
Coaches
Persson J.
Hogmo P.
Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: )).
Varberg has the most likely position - 16 (59.7%), project points - 21, currently - 5, a good chance of relegated (82%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Häcken has the most likely position - 2 (28.63%), project points - 59, currently - 22, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a chance of qualify for ucl (20%), a chance of win league (20%).
This event has small quality20, importance48, match rating34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Varberg won 0.
Varberg has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Häcken is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Varberg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Häcken is indisputable favorite.
There will not play in Varberg: Birkfeldt J.
(Injury)
Liljenback A.
(Knee Injury)
Mensah G.
(Knee Injury)
Tshikupe M.
(Injury)
There will not play in Häcken: Oscar U.
(Injury)
Sadiq I.
(Injury)
Sana T.
(Injury)
Trpchevski F.
(Injury)
Turgott B.
(Injury)
Youssef A.
(Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Varberg won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9-21.
Including matches at home between the teams Varberg won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.
Denmark
Sweden
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Lukic S. (G) 
Frigell Jansson L. 
Nogueira V. 
Le Roux L. 
Krasniqi D. 
Fridriksson V. 
Hovland E. 
Lund K. 
Romeo A. 
El Ouatki Y. 
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