Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 10

Date: 28 May 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stora Valla (Degerfors)

Referee: Hasani R. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Degerfors		Varbergs BoIS

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.53	4.1	5
	1.53	4.5	5.5	Watch
	1.54	4.45	5.9
	1.54	4.39	5.53
	1.5	4.2	5
	1.55	4.33	5.28	Watch
	1.51	4.2	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.56)	4.3 ↑ (3.91)	5.36 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Degerfors
60.9%

Draw
21.7%

Varbergs BoIS
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

22.9%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

21.1%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Degerfors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Varbergs BoIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	5.9%	11.8%

Degerfors - Varbergs BoIS Predictions

Users Predictions: Degerfors will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jakobsson W. (G) 30. Morgado B. 15. Moro N. 2. Diaby M. 6. Wallin O. 4. Martensson J. (C) 7. Ohlsson S. 3. Mammar Chaouche A. 9. Lindgren G. 10. Vukojevic D. 8. Holmen K.	27. Olsson D. (G) 22. Frigell Jansson L. 4. Dahlstrom N. 3. Zackrisson H. (C) 5. Sverrisson O. 10. Montiel D. 7. Tranberg R. 23. Tokich M. 11. Bjerkebo I. 20. Bitiqi A. 25. Abdulazeez Y.
Substitutes
16. Demirol A. 11. Fisic A. 25. Forsell R. (G) 18. Gronborg T. 23. Heden Lindskog A. 17. Kassi L. 21. Pihlstrom E.	14. Alfonsi D. 31. Dryselius V. (G) 13. Edlund O. 9. Kurochkin A. 17. Olausson L. 6. Silverholt O. 16. Wiklund A.
Coaches
Lundin W.	Linderoth T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Tranberg R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Montiel D. ↓, Edlund O. ↑,
68', Vukojevic D. ↓, Fisic A. ↑,
68', Lindgren G. ↓, Pihlstrom E. ↑,
71', Tokich M. ↓, Kurochkin A. ↑,
73', Moro N. 🟨,
73', 0 - 1, Kurochkin A. (Pen),
76', Moro N. ↓, Gronborg T. ↑,
76', Martensson J. ↓, Kassi L. ↑,
82', Olsson D. 🟨,
87', Dahlstrom N. 🟨,
90', Bitiqi A. ↓, Alfonsi D. ↑,
90', Abdulazeez Y. ↓, Olausson L. ↑,
90+5', Mammar Chaouche A. ↓, Demirol A. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 1, Demirol A. ⚽, Fisic A. (A),
90+7', Holmen K. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Degerfors won 0.

Recent matches Degerfors is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Varberg is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Varberg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Degerfors is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Degerfors won 4 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Degerfors won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Degerfors IF
Swedish Superettan
23.05.24	Brage - Degerfors	0:1 ✺
18.05.24	Degerfors - Örgryte	4:1 ✺
14.05.24	Örebro - Degerfors	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Degerfors - Landskrona	1:3 ✺
29.04.24	Trelleborg - Degerfors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLLT
- Varbergs BoIS
Swedish Superettan
23.05.24	Varbergs BoIS - Oddevold	2:1 ✺
19.05.24	Sandviken - Varbergs BoIS	3:1 ✺
11.05.24	Varbergs BoIS - Örgryte	1:3 ✺
06.05.24	Varbergs BoIS - Trelleborg	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	Sundsvall - Varbergs BoIS	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
28.10.23	Varbergs BoIS - Degerfors	1:1
29.05.23	Degerfors - Varbergs BoIS	1:1
14.08.22	Degerfors - Varbergs BoIS	1:1
22.05.22	Varbergs BoIS - Degerfors	2:1
02.10.21	Varbergs BoIS - Degerfors	0:0
31.07.21	Degerfors - Varbergs BoIS	1:1
Swedish Superettan
03.08.19	Degerfors - Varbergs BoIS	3:1

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