Match Info

Division 2 - Norrland - Round 8

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	IFK Umeå		Boden

	1	X	2
	6.75	4.6	1.34
	6.5	4.65	1.38
	6.8	4.6	1.38	Watch
	6.6	4.65	1.36
	6.41	4.52	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.61 ↑ (6.5)	4.6 ↓ (4.65)	1.36 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IFK Umeå
13.7%

Draw
19.7%

Boden
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.1%

19.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7%

19.1%

68.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IFK Umeå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Boden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for IFK Umeå aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boden than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

IFK Umeå - Boden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

IFK Umeå is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Boden has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

IFK Umeå may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Boden is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Boden will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, IFK Umeå won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.8:2.8).

Including home match between the teams, IFK Umeå won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Boden	12	4	2	6	15:26	-11	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Umeå
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
17.05.26	Storfors - IFK Umeå	3:1 ✺
06.05.26	IFK Umeå - Umeå Akademi	1:4 ✺
02.05.26	IFK Umeå - Skellefteå FF	0:5 ✺
25.04.26	Täfteå - IFK Umeå	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	IFK Umeå - Luleå	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Bodens BK
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
16.05.26	Boden - Täfteå	2:3 ✺
10.05.26	Luleå - Boden	1:1 ✺
06.05.26	Skellefteå FF - Boden	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Boden - Storfors	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Boden - Umeå Akademi	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
11.04.26	Boden - IFK Umeå	3:1
12.09.20	Boden - IFK Umeå	3:1
25.08.18	IFK Umeå - Boden	0:0
05.05.18	Boden - IFK Umeå	5:1

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