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Current Win Probability
IFK Östersunds 19.3%
Draw 23.8%
Hammarby 56.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.3%
22.9%
58.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.4%
19.3%
69.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IFK Östersunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Hammarby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Östersunds than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hammarby could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10.9%
12.7%
76.4%
IFK Östersunds - Hammarby Predictions
Users Predictions:
55 users predict this event. IFK Östersunds will win (votes: 6 - 10.9%). Hammarby will win (votes: 42 - 76.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 12.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Hammarby: 65.2% – 87.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Östersund has the most likely position - 16 (35.73%), has project points - 25, has currently - 8, has a good chance of relegated (64%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Hammarby has the most likely position - 3 (21.13%), has project points - 50, has currently - 21, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Östersund has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Hammarby is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Hammarby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Hammarby is a favorite.
Hammarby is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Last 17 head-to-head matches Östersund won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 25-27.
Including matches at home between the teams Östersund won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-11.
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