Match Info

Date: 22 November 2021, Monday


	IFK Östersunds		Mjällby

	1	X	2
	7	4.33	1.44	Watch
	6.75	4.75	1.41
	6.75	4.6	1.46	Watch
	6.4	4.2	1.46
	6.82	4.69	1.49
	7.5	4.2	1.42	Watch
	6.9	4.45	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.87 ↑ (4.66)	4.46 ↑ (3.84)	1.45 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IFK Östersunds
13.7%

Draw
21.2%

Mjällby
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

24.5%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5%

20%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IFK Östersunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that IFK Östersunds's form might have worsened.

Mjällby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mjällby's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Östersunds than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

IFK Östersunds - Mjällby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Östersund has the most likely position - 16 (75.63%), has project points - 17, has currently - 14, was already of relegated.

Mjällby has the most likely position - 12 (24.33%), has project points - 36, has currently - 31, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Östersund is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mjällby is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Östersund could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Östersund have a series of guest games.

Recently Mjällby have a series of home games.

In this match Mjällby is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Östersund won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Östersund won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Östersunds
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
20.11.21	Skellefteå FF - IFK Östersunds	2:2 ✺
13.11.21	IFK Östersunds - Boden	2:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
07.11.21	AIK - IFK Östersunds	3:0 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
06.11.21	Bergnäsets - IFK Östersunds	3:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
30.10.21	Varbergs BoIS - IFK Östersunds	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWLLL
- Mjällby AIF
Swedish Allsvenskan
06.11.21	Mjällby - Sirius	2:3 ✺
01.11.21	Mjällby - Hammarby	2:0 ✺
28.10.21	Norrköping - Mjällby	2:2 ✺
24.10.21	Mjällby - IFK Göteborg	1:3 ✺
17.10.21	Mjällby - Kalmar	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
09.05.21	Mjällby - IFK Östersunds	1:0
Svenska Cupen
07.03.21	Mjällby - IFK Östersunds	0:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
01.11.20	Mjällby - IFK Östersunds	3:0
06.07.20	IFK Östersunds - Mjällby	0:1
Swedish Superettan
30.08.15	Mjällby - IFK Östersunds	1:0
17.06.15	IFK Östersunds - Mjällby	1:0
Svenska Cupen
18.08.12	IFK Östersunds - Mjällby	0:3

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