Match Info

Date: 30 October 2021, Saturday


	Varbergs BoIS		IFK Östersunds

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	8.5	Watch
	1.42	4.6	6.75
	1.4	4.75	8	Watch
	1.38	4.6	7.4
	1.41	4.91	8.3
	1.38	4.33	8
	1.39	4.8	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.63)	4.68 ↑ (4.09)	7.88 ↑ (5.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varbergs BoIS
67.8%

Draw
20.2%

IFK Östersunds
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

23.6%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

14.5%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varbergs BoIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varbergs BoIS's performance.

IFK Östersunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and IFK Östersunds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (-31.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varbergs BoIS that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Östersunds than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that IFK Östersunds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Varbergs BoIS - IFK Östersunds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Varbergs BoIS has the most likely position - 11 (25.86%), has project points - 37, has currently - 30, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Östersund has the most likely position - 16 (72.26%), has project points - 18, has currently - 14, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Varbergs BoIS is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Östersund is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Varbergs BoIS could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Östersund have a series of home games.

In this match Varbergs BoIS is indisputable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Varbergs BoIS won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Varbergs BoIS won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varbergs BoIS
Swedish Allsvenskan
27.10.21	Kalmar - Varbergs BoIS	2:2 ✺
24.10.21	Varbergs BoIS - Malmö	1:1 ✺
16.10.21	Sirius - Varbergs BoIS	2:1 ✺
02.10.21	Varbergs BoIS - Degerfors	0:0 ✺
26.09.21	Norrköping - Varbergs BoIS	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTLTL
- IFK Östersunds
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
30.10.21	Täfteå - IFK Östersunds	2:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
27.10.21	IFK Östersunds - Häcken	1:1 ✺
24.10.21	Hammarby - IFK Östersunds	4:3 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
23.10.21	IFK Östersunds - Gottne	1:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
16.10.21	IFK Östersunds - Malmö	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
02.05.21	IFK Östersunds - Varbergs BoIS	1:2
22.11.20	IFK Östersunds - Varbergs BoIS	0:4
02.08.20	Varbergs BoIS - IFK Östersunds	1:1
Svenska Cupen
18.02.17	IFK Östersunds - Varbergs BoIS	2:1
Swedish Superettan
25.07.15	IFK Östersunds - Varbergs BoIS	4:1
06.06.15	Varbergs BoIS - IFK Östersunds	1:0
30.08.14	Varbergs BoIS - IFK Östersunds	2:0

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