Match Info

SWEDEN: DIVISION 2 - NORRA SVEALAND - ROUND 22

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday


	IK Franke		Karlberg

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.5	1.45
	5.24	4.4	1.44
	5.65	4.65	1.44
	5.5	4.5	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.47 ↑ (4.5)	4.51 ↑ (3.9)	1.45 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IK Franke
16.7%

Draw
20.2%

Karlberg
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

22.6%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

21.7%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IK Franke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Karlberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karlberg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IK Franke than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlberg than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Division 2 ~ Norra Svealand (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

IK Franke is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Karlberg in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Karlberg is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches IK Franke won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-9.

Including matches at home between the teams IK Franke won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Franke
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
16.09.23	IK Franke - Gute	2:1 ✺
09.09.23	Sandvikens AIK - IK Franke	2:0 ✺
03.09.23	IK Franke - Österåker United	0:0 ✺
26.08.23	Viggbyholm - IK Franke	3:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
23.08.23	IK Franke - Skövde AIK	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTLL
- Karlbergs BK
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
17.09.23	Järfälla - Karlberg	1:1 ✺
10.09.23	Karlberg - Arlanda	2:0 ✺
06.09.23	Karlberg - Viggbyholm	4:1 ✺
03.09.23	Kvarnsvedens - Karlberg	0:3 ✺
27.08.23	Karlberg - Hudiksvall	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
04.06.23	Karlberg - IK Franke	2:2
27.08.16	IK Franke - Karlberg	2:3
08.05.16	Karlberg - IK Franke	4:0

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