Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 21

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadshagens IP (Vasastaden)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Karlberg		Arlanda

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.50	3.40	2.30
	2.52	3.45	2.4
	2.53	3.8	2.47
	2.55	3.72	2.45	Watch
	2.5	3.75	2.35
	2.5	3.74	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.26)	3.64 ↑ (3.55)	2.41 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlberg
36.6%

Draw
25.3%

Arlanda
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

25.5%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

24.7%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Arlanda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlberg than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arlanda than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Karlberg - Arlanda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Bojang E. (G) 17. Aslund H. 7. Fernandez H. 25. Hogberg F. 19. Jemal A. 18. Lalic M. 11. Mitku M. 2. Nieminen Eriksson F. 12. Sequar A. (C) 24. Sietsema L. 3. Steen V.	1. Smedberg Lagh A. (G) 15. Antholm I. 22. Butros M. 10. Charbachi A. 3. Fredricson H. 27. Johansson E. 21. Kleist L. 2. Norberg C. 19. Rydz S. 24. Saeed A. 8. Yemane Y. (C)
Substitutes
4. Backman A. 14. Fati A. 1. Gkoulios A. (G) 15. Hall V. 9. Jamshidi A. 16. Jansson M. 21. Nilsson F.	11. Ahmed M. 5. Bergstedt O. 18. Carlsson J. 25. Drugge J. 20. Giordano Eriksson I. 30. Karo A. (G) 7. Rehman S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Johansson E. 🟥,
26', Saeed A. ↓, Giordano Eriksson I. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Jemal A. ⚽, Sietsema L. (A),
54', Yemane Y. 🟨,
64', Aslund H. 🟨,
70', Kleist L. ↓, Carlsson J. ↑,
75', Aslund H. ↓, Jansson M. ↑,
75', Fernandez H. ↓, Fati A. ↑,
86', Sietsema L. ↓, Nilsson F. ↑,
86', Mitku M. ↓, Backman A. ↑,
86', Nieminen Eriksson F. ↓, Hall V. ↑,
88', Backman A. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karlberg won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Karlberg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 2.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Karlberg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 3.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arlanda	25	14	6	5	46:28	18	48
10	Karlbergs	25	9	5	11	33:41	-8	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karlbergs BK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
06.09.26	Piteå - Karlberg	3:0 ✺
31.08.26	Hammarby TFF - Karlberg	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Karlberg - AFC Eskilstuna	0:3 ✺
Svenska Cupen
18.08.26	Karlberg - Brage	2:0 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
15.08.26	Karlberg - Stocksund	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LTLWW
- FC Arlanda
Swedish Division 1 Norra
06.09.26	Arlanda - Umeå	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Stocksund - Arlanda	2:3 ✺
23.08.26	Arlanda - FBK Karlstad	5:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
20.08.26	Arlanda - Östersund	1:2 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
16.08.26	Stockholm Internazionale - Arlanda	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
13.05.26	Arlanda - Karlberg	1:1
09.08.25	Karlberg - Arlanda	1:3
19.06.25	Arlanda - Karlberg	0:1
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
10.09.23	Karlberg - Arlanda	2:0
13.05.23	Arlanda - Karlberg	1:2
08.08.21	Arlanda - Karlberg	1:2
31.07.21	Karlberg - Arlanda	7:0

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