Match Info

WE League Women - Round 5

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Noevir Stadium (Kobe) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Japan	12:00	DAZN Japan


	INAC Kobe Leonessa		JEF United Chiba

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.90	5.00
	1.49	3.85	5.3
	1.51	4.06	5.52
	1.52	4.08	5.4	Watch
	1.47	3.95	5.4
	1.49	3.94	5.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.67)	3.96 ↑ (3.54)	5.34 ↑ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

INAC Kobe Leonessa
60.3%

Draw
22.8%

JEF United Chiba
16.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.5%

25.6%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

27%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

INAC Kobe Leonessa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in INAC Kobe Leonessa's performance.

JEF United Chiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for INAC Kobe Leonessa than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (+2%)

INAC Kobe Leonessa - JEF United Chiba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Masano R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 1, Kubota M. ⚽,
84', 1 - 2, Ogawa Y. ⚽, Inoue A. (A),

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 1st in the Promotion - AFC Champions League Women and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, INAC Kobe won 4.

In recent outings, INAC Kobe has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

JEF United shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Recently, INAC Kobe has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this matchup, INAC Kobe is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, INAC Kobe has recorded 13 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:15 (averaging 1.6:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for INAC Kobe against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 19:4 goals (averaging 2.1:0.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	JEF United W	6	4	0	2	9:7	2	12
5	Inac Kobe Leonesa W	7	3	1	3	14:13	1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- INAC Kobe Leonessa
Japan WE League Women
18.10.26	MyNavi Sendai - INAC Kobe Leonessa	3:4 ✺
Japan WE League Cup Women
11.10.26	Nagano Parceiro - INAC Kobe Leonessa	1:2 penalties ✺
03.10.26	MyNavi Sendai - INAC Kobe Leonessa	0:1 penalties ✺
27.09.26	INAC Kobe Leonessa - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:3 ✺
23.09.26	JEF United Chiba - INAC Kobe Leonessa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWLL
- JEF United Chiba Women
Japan WE League Women
18.10.26	JEF United Chiba - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:1 ✺
Japan WE League Cup Women
10.10.26	JEF United Chiba - Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara	3:1 ✺
04.10.26	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama - JEF United Chiba	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Omiya Ardija - JEF United Chiba	1:2 penalties ✺
23.09.26	JEF United Chiba - INAC Kobe Leonessa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan WE League Cup Women
23.09.26	JEF United Chiba - INAC Kobe Leonessa	3:2
Japan WE League Women
29.03.26	INAC Kobe Leonessa - JEF United Chiba	4:0
05.10.25	JEF United Chiba - INAC Kobe Leonessa	0:1
16.03.25	INAC Kobe Leonessa - JEF United Chiba	2:1
23.11.24	JEF United Chiba - INAC Kobe Leonessa	1:2
Japan WE League Cup Women
26.10.24	INAC Kobe Leonessa - JEF United Chiba	1:1
25.09.24	JEF United Chiba - INAC Kobe Leonessa	2:2

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