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Current Win Probability
INAC Kobe Leonessa 37.2%
Draw 26.3%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 36.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.9%
24.6%
33.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
25.6%
32.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
INAC Kobe Leonessa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for INAC Kobe Leonessa than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for INAC Kobe Leonessa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 11th and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, INAC Kobe won 1.
Recent results have been tough for INAC Kobe (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Sanfrecce Hiroshima have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, INAC Kobe has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:21 (averaging 0.9:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for INAC Kobe against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 12:12 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).