Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 - Round 28

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: Stadioni Bendela (Tbilisi)


	Iberia 1999 2		Samtredia

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.5	2
	2.83	3.43	2.23	Watch
	3.28	3.32	2.03
	2.33	3.2	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.38)	3.36 ↑ (3.2)	2.21 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iberia 1999 2
31.5%

Draw
27.1%

Samtredia
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

27.9%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iberia 1999 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Iberia 1999 2's form might have worsened.

Samtredia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Samtredia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iberia 1999 2 than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Iberia 1999 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samtredia than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Samtredia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Iberia 1999 2 - Samtredia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Samtredia will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Samtredia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kurtanidze R. (G) 2. Gogsadze G. 15. Kukalia G. 3. Bochorishvili N. 5. Chumburidze N. 20. Tsamalashvili S. 18. Sajaia G. 8. Chachua G. 30. Tsamalashvili Z. (C) 19. Kvartskhava D. 7. Gogilashvili D.	12. Bediashvili G. (G) 3. Dvalishvili J. 19. Kakubava L. (C) 13. Gadrani G. 22. Mchedlishvili G. 27. Samurkasovi D. 37. Mandzhgaladze G. 6. Aknazarov M. 20. Gvishiani G. 10. Cordero Gonzalez J. 36. Kutalia L.
Substitutes
12. Bochorishvili S. (G) 27. Chanturia G. 11. Khechikashvili T. 40. Labadze C. 39. Menagarishvili A. 10. Mikaia D. 33. Murvanidze S. 34. Ustiashvili N.	7. Amoako J. 21. Chikovani T. 17. Elbakidze L. 14. Gauto R. 9. Kapanadze T. 15. Kveladze G. 23. Meparishvili D. (G) 24. Pilpani B. 11. Tchamba C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Mchedlishvili G. 🟨,
43', Mandzhgaladze G. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Samurkasovi D. ⚽, Aknazarov M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Tsamalashvili Z. 🟨,
50', Aknazarov M. 🟨,
58', Tsamalashvili S. ↓, Murvanidze S. ↑,
67', Kvartskhava D. ↓, Menagarishvili A. ↑,
83', Sajaia G. ↓, Chanturia G. ↑,
83', Gogsadze G. ↓, Labadze C. ↑,
90+2', Aknazarov M. ↓, Elbakidze L. ↑,

Preview

Iberia 1999 2 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Samtredia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Iberia 1999 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Iberia 1999 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iberia 1999 2
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
05.10.25	Spaeri - Iberia 1999 2	1:1 ✺
01.10.25	Iberia 1999 2 - Merani Martvili	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Iberia 1999 2	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Iberia 1999 2 - Meshakhte Tkibuli	2:1 ✺
15.09.25	Sioni Bolnisi - Iberia 1999 2	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 TTTWW
- FC Samtredia
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
05.10.25	Merani Martvili - Samtredia	1:1 ✺
01.10.25	Samtredia - Meshakhte Tkibuli	1:1 ✺
Georgian Cup
23.09.25	Rustavi - Samtredia	1:2 ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
19.09.25	Samtredia - Dinamo Tbilisi 2	2:2 ✺
15.09.25	Spaeri - Samtredia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
18.08.25	Samtredia - Iberia 1999 2	4:0
02.05.25	Iberia 1999 2 - Samtredia	2:1

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