Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 - Round 23

Date: 15 September 2025, Monday

Location: Spaeri Stadium (Tbilisi)


	Spaeri		Samtredia

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.05	4.15
	2.81	3.27	2.35	Watch
	1.88	3.17	4.3
	1.42	3.8	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.45)	3.32 ↓ (3.75)	4.2 ↓ (6.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Spaeri
48.3%

Draw
28.8%

Samtredia
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

24.2%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

23.6%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spaeri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spaeri's form might have worsened.

Samtredia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Samtredia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spaeri than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spaeri, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samtredia than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Samtredia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Spaeri - Samtredia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Putkaradze B. (G) 40. Mathenjwa S. 4. Grigalashvili G. 20. Kentchadze N. (C) 14. Samkharadze G. 8. Maisuradze S. 17. Tsurtsumia G. 12. Barabadze L. 18. Poniava P. 7. Gegiadze S. 30. Basilashvili Z.	1. Kurdadze B. (G) 3. Dvalishvili J. 34. Susko D. 29. Djukic B. 15. Kveladze G. 20. Gvishiani G. 32. Lopez B. 37. Mandzhgaladze G. (C) 27. Samurkasovi D. 10. Cordero Gonzalez J. 36. Kutalia L.
Substitutes
22. Chagunava N. 23. Chomakhidze N. (G) 6. Chotalishvili T. 24. Golubiani Z. 3. Kachibaia L. 10. Kobakhidze L. 5. Tsalughelashvili T. 9. Tsetskhladze G. 11. Tsetskhladze G.	6. Aknazarov M. 12. Bediashvili G. (G) 21. Chikovani T. 17. Elbakidze L. 13. Gadrani G. 14. Gauto R. 9. Kapanadze T. 22. Mchedlishvili G. 11. Tchamba C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Kutalia L. ⚽, Cordero Gonzalez J. (A),
21', Kutalia L. 🟨,
30', Tsurtsumia G. 🟨,
35', Barabadze L. 🟨,
35', Samurkasovi D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Samurkasovi D. ↓, Tchamba C. ↑,
48', Basilashvili Z. ↓, Tsetskhladze G. ↑,
53', Kutalia L. 🟨,
61', Kveladze G. ↓, Elbakidze L. ↑,
61', Gvishiani G. ↓, Mchedlishvili G. ↑,
71', Tsurtsumia G. ↓, Kobakhidze L. ↑,
71', Poniava P. ↓, Golubiani Z. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Samkharadze G. ⚽,
78', Golubiani Z. 🟨,
78', Lopez B. ↓, Aknazarov M. ↑,
83', Gegiadze S. ↓, Tsetskhladze G. ↑,
86', Kobakhidze L. 🟨,
86', Tchamba C. 🟨,
87', Cordero Gonzalez J. ↓, Gadrani G. ↑,
90+2', Kurdadze B. 🟨,

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

Recently, Samtredia has had a series of home games.

In this match, Spaeri is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Spaeri will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spaeri won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Spaeri won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spaeri FC
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
11.09.25	Merani Martvili - Spaeri	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Spaeri - Meshakhte Tkibuli	1:0 ✺
25.08.25	Gonio - Spaeri	0:1 ✺
Georgian Cup
20.08.25	Spaeri - Kolkheti Poti	4:2 ET ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
16.08.25	Spaeri - Dinamo Tbilisi 2	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWWWT
- FC Samtredia
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
11.09.25	Samtredia - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Sioni Bolnisi - Samtredia	0:3 ✺
24.08.25	Samtredia - Rustavi	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Samtredia - Iberia 1999 2	4:0 ✺
11.08.25	Samtredia - Merani Martvili	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
24.05.25	Samtredia - Spaeri	1:0
06.04.25	Spaeri - Samtredia	2:1
15.10.22	Samtredia - Spaeri	2:1
21.08.22	Spaeri - Samtredia	1:1
22.05.22	Samtredia - Spaeri	2:2

Upcoming Matches