Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 - Round 26

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium (Samtredia)


	Samtredia		Meshakhte Tkibuli

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.1
	1.92	3.14	3.74
	1.87	3.20	4.19	Watch
	2.24	3.15	3.26
	2.1	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.1)	3.1 ↑ (3)	3.48 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Samtredia
44.3%

Draw
29.4%

Meshakhte Tkibuli
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

29.4%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

26.7%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samtredia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Meshakhte Tkibuli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samtredia than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Meshakhte Tkibuli than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Samtredia - Meshakhte Tkibuli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kurdadze B. (G) 3. Dvalishvili J. 34. Susko D. 13. Gadrani G. 22. Mchedlishvili G. 32. Lopez B. 27. Samurkasovi D. 37. Mandzhgaladze G. (C) 20. Gvishiani G. 36. Kutalia L. 10. Cordero Gonzalez J.	25. Labadze A. (G) 26. Gabiskiria B. 40. Ugrekhelidze L. 33. Oduduwa M. 16. Gegia G. 7. Shonia T. 14. Jikia M. (C) 30. Khorkheli A. 27. Phob E. 9. Sherozia L. 11. Natchkebia D.
Substitutes
6. Aknazarov M. 21. Chikovani T. 17. Elbakidze L. 14. Gauto R. 19. Kakubava L. 15. Kveladze G. 23. Meparishvili D. (G) 24. Pilpani B. 11. Tchamba C.	5. Abuladze N. 13. Burduli G. 21. Gugeshashvili Z. 20. Kurdadze L. 36. Kvelaidze L. 23. Shubitidze B. 4. Tereladze M. 29. Timi C. B. 1. Tkeshelashvili L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Cordero Gonzalez J. ⚽, Mandzhgaladze G. (A),
19', Ugrekhelidze L. 🟨,
22', Gabiskiria B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Natchkebia D. ↓, Gugeshashvili Z. ↑,
46', Mchedlishvili G. ↓, Elbakidze L. ↑,
54', Susko D. 🟨,
62', Cordero Gonzalez J. ↓, Chikovani T. ↑,
67', Chikovani T. 🟨,
68', 1 - 1, Sherozia L. (Pen),
70', Mandzhgaladze G. 🟨,
72', Samurkasovi D. ↓, Aknazarov M. ↑,
72', Lopez B. ↓, Tchamba C. ↑,
79', Gugeshashvili Z. 🟨,
82', Sherozia L. ↓, Timi C. B. ↑,
82', Phob E. ↓, Tereladze M. ↑,
83', Gegia G. ↓, Burduli G. ↑,
86', Susko D. ↓, Gauto R. ↑,
86', Khorkheli A. ↓, Abuladze N. ↑,
90+3', Mandzhgaladze G. 🟨,
90+3', Ugrekhelidze L. 🟨,
90+3', Labadze A. 🟨,
90+8', Oduduwa M. 🟨,

Preview

Samtredia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Meshakhte has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Meshakhte may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Samtredia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Samtredia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Samtredia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Samtredia
Georgian Cup
23.09.25	Rustavi - Samtredia	1:2 ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
19.09.25	Samtredia - Dinamo Tbilisi 2	2:2 ✺
15.09.25	Spaeri - Samtredia	1:1 ✺
11.09.25	Samtredia - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Sioni Bolnisi - Samtredia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.5 WTTWW
- Meshakhte Tkibuli
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
27.09.25	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Merani Martvili	0:1 ✺
Georgian Cup
23.09.25	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Iberia 1999	0:3 ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
19.09.25	Iberia 1999 2 - Meshakhte Tkibuli	2:1 ✺
15.09.25	Gonio - Meshakhte Tkibuli	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Dinamo Tbilisi 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
04.08.25	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Samtredia	4:0
24.04.25	Samtredia - Meshakhte Tkibuli	0:0
Georgian Cup
12.06.18	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Samtredia	2:3

Samtredia - Meshakhte Tkibuli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide