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Current Win Probability
Merani Martvili 53.2%
Draw 24.9%
Samtredia 22%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.3%
25.5%
23.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
20.5%
28.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Merani Martvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Samtredia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merani Martvili than the current prediction. (-12%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Merani Martvili that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samtredia than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samtredia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
0%
16.7%
Merani Martvili - Samtredia Predictions
Users Predictions:
Merani Martvili will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Khamkhoev K. (G) 23. Gvasalia G. 4. Kharabadze N. 25. Mala D. 11. Ugrekhelidze G. 14. Khelaia D. 20. Gagity R. 33. Laghadze B. (C) 8. Kadaria L. 5. Chumburidze N. 7. Esonkulov J.
12. Lazarevs V. (G) 2. Gvishiani G. 30. Akhalkatsi S. 15. Kveladze G. 14. Gauto R. 7. Mandzhgaladze G. (C) 31. Tsulaia L. 11. Odikadze T. 32. Lopez B. 10. Cordero Gonzalez J. 40. Chikovani T.
Substitutes
22. Askerov R. 31. Chachava V. (G) 19. Gadilia L. 10. Sikharulia Z. 18. Tsulaia L.
35. Adeishvili A. 27. Aleksidze T. 21. Baratelia R. 20. Gagnidze O. 25. Labadze A. (G) 8. Samurkasovi D. 18. Visentini L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Kharabadze N. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Cordero Gonzalez J. ⚽,
45+2', Laghadze B. ↓, Gadilia L. ↑,
45+2', Khelaia D. ↓, Sikharulia Z. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Esonkulov J. (Penalty Awarded),
56', Sikharulia Z. 🟨,
56', Lopez B. 🟨,
59', Kadaria L. ↓, Askerov R. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Chumburidze N. ⚽, Mala D. (A),
72', Tsulaia L. ↓, Gagnidze O. ↑,
74', Chumburidze N. ↓, Tsulaia L. ↑,
78', Ugrekhelidze G. 🟨,
79', Odikadze T. ↓, Baratelia R. ↑,
83', Baratelia R. 🟨,
89', 2 - 1, Esonkulov J. ⚽,
89', Esonkulov J. 🟨,
90+2', Gauto R. ↓, Aleksidze T. ↑,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Promotion: ) and 8 in the zone Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Merani Martvili won 2.
Recent performances by Merani Martvili have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Samtredia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Merani Martvili is seen as the favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Merani Martvili won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.5:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Merani Martvili won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
Watch
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Khamkhoev K. (G) 
Gvasalia G. 
Mala D. 
Esonkulov J. 
Lazarevs V. (G) 
Gauto R. 
Cordero Gonzalez J. 
Visentini L. 
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