Match Info

CHILE: SEGUNDA DIVISION - ROUND 8

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday


	Iberia Los Ángeles		Provincial Osorno

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.8
	2.28	3.1	2.65
	2.3	3.54	2.73
	2.25	3	2.88
	2.35	3.3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.56)	3.21 ↑ (3.14)	2.77 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iberia Los Ángeles
39.4%

Draw
28.1%

Provincial Osorno
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

29%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

30.9%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iberia Los Ángeles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Provincial Osorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iberia Los Ángeles than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Provincial Osorno than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Iberia Los Ángeles - Provincial Osorno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 12 and 5).

Iberia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Provincial Osorno is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Iberia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iberia Los Ángeles
Chilean Segunda Division
22.04.23	Deportes Melipilla - Iberia Los Ángeles	2:1 ✺
15.04.23	Iberia Los Ángeles - Deportes Limache	1:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
08.04.23	Iberia Los Ángeles - Universidad de Concepción	0:2 ✺
Chilean Segunda Division
01.04.23	Iberia Los Ángeles - General Velásquez	2:0 ✺
24.03.23	Lautaro de Buin - Iberia Los Ángeles	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLWL
- Provincial Osorno
Chilean Segunda Division
23.04.23	Provincial Osorno - Real San Joaquín	2:1 ✺
15.04.23	Deportes Rengo - Provincial Osorno	2:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
08.04.23	Deportes Valdivia - Provincial Osorno	2:3 penalties ✺
Chilean Segunda Division
26.03.23	Provincial Osorno - Deportes Concepción	4:3 ✺
18.03.23	Arturo Fernández Vial - Provincial Osorno	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLWWW

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